How to track the "smart money"?

The smart money or institutions (banks, brokers, hedge funds, mutual funds) try very hard to hide their activities for the simple reason that the retail traders will piggy back and make the price of any stock they are trying to accumulate skyrocket. You will never notice because they tell their broker to buy small amounts of stock over a longer period of time say, 3 months. So, the price hardly, budges when they are buying. When they are selling, it is too obvious for anyone to see. Of course, you got to get out when they are getting out or get run over by the stampede of sellers.
 
you can basically see what smart money does by studying the spy chart. u have to ask yourself what is the other half doing, who is getting trapped, and what would jesus do in this case etc.?

In addition, SM shows it's hand on every chart in any liquid asset class. Once it is seen, it cannot be unseen - along the lines of "why is the obvious, not so obvious" and variations of the theme.

Understandably, the statement does sound cryptic and straight bs.

For me, it's taken a journey to change my perspective on it and largely dependent on the definition of "what is smart money?" The answers to that question have evolved just as my questioning of the concept has as well.

My current conception and understanding of it, my former self would not or could not accept based upon the beliefs and experience of that younger more naive me.
 
https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

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This book is all about analyzing the COT data to position yourself with smart money. Also plenty of free COT based charts can be found with a quick google search...much better than the raw data IMO.
 
I had all but given up on trading after taking some losses that outweighed my gains recently.

However, a few days prior to the Jackson Hole speech by Powell, I read this article saying hedge funds are placing bets on interest rates in record amounts. This caused me to trust their judgement and short the S&P futures. As expected, Powell was hawkish and this upset the "wishful thinking" crowd who thought that one month worth of better inflation numbers would cause the Fed to ease up.

The S&P has dropped significantly since then and I've made a good amount of money. Currently at about $6,300 profit on a ESU22 futures contract.

It got me thinking... Maybe following what the "smart money" does can be a good strategy. How can I follow this? Aside from just randomly coming across news articles.

Here's the article...

https://www.reuters.com/markets/fun...h-fed-jackson-hole-looms-mcgeever-2022-08-22/



Follow the Smart Money thusly and be always right ..........

Do the opposite of what Overnight and vanzandt call/do
 
Follow the Smart Money thusly and be always right ..........

Do the opposite of what Overnight and vanzandt call/do


Additionally for several items get the COT data and go with the Commercial Hedgers. these guys are opposite of Hedge funds and small traders like those at ET and Retail.

Go with commercial Hedgers and watch how they build their positions. then use TA to time your entry into the short or Long
 
Follow the Smart Money thusly and be always right ..........

Do the opposite of what Overnight and vanzandt call/do

that's what i do too...my work colleague is in the investing type of mindset and thinks he is a trader. he likes to average down on loser etc. i usually asked his opinions on certain stonks and do the opposite of what he thinks. so far, that strategy has been making me money. i call that strategy "what dumb money do."
 
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