How to Time the End of Trends

TraderZones · May 13, 2008

Quote from mjh:

I use a signal (a derivation) of CCI that nails it everytime.

One has to question the ability of a trader when they make a statement like that...

Mup · May 14, 2008

Fibonacci time counts :eek:

montysky · May 21, 2008

Quote from Charly:

What does "MJH" mean by

derivation of CCI ??

does anybody know?

Thanks.

It looks like Woodies CCI.

murray t turtle · Nov 5, 2008

Quote from ivob:

Volume.

Price can only keep on going up on increasing volume and can only keep on going down on increasing volume.

regards,
Ivo

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True;
or more accurately,partly true anyway.

Thats a preference;
not a requirement for a trend.

Moving averages like 200dma..........;
help a lot, in trend measure, trend end, trend friend.

TraderZones · Nov 5, 2008

Quote from alex.samant:

unless you have an indicator of "mood" of crowd or a crystal ball, you can't predict the end of trends
.

Exactly. No one can regularly pick tops or bottoms. That is what separates a trader from an idiot.

murray t turtle · Nov 10, 2008

Quote from riskfreetrading:

What are the tools and procedure/process you use to determine the end of a mark up (or market down)?

Specify whether your tools and procedures determine the price only, or the time and price at which the markup/markdown ends.

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Well, this does not '' nail it everytime'', LOL.

But neat thing about a trend;
a trend,
tends to trend ,
more than end.....

PSAR[parabolic stop & reverse] doesnt nail it every time,
but note the neat way it tightens up as a trend gets more extended

illinimatt81 · Nov 11, 2008

I like simple double/triple tops and bottoms

options4me · Nov 11, 2008

Perfect Indicator for When The Trend is OVER...

When you start loseing money everyday...I would say the trend is over...

Really. just breaking the 30 MA ,is enough to tell the trend is over

gqguy2003 · May 9, 2009

I find these rules to be very effective in determining the end of a trend. If there isn't divergence, the trend is continuing.

Evidently they measure divergence in several different ways but if you combine them together .. its very useful.

Nice work here.

http://www.rsksys.com/spdivergence.html

quotetrader · May 9, 2009

I like the Trader Vic steps- but he forgot

step #4:

If you aren't in by this time, it's too late- you already missed it