Quote from cowcool:
How to spot the beginning of a trending day?
Thx!!
Say the 'beginning' equals some random time such as 9:30am... then I guess the trend could possibly, maybe perhaps, there is a change that by 11:30 you can determine a trend.... well, right before the lunch lull, then the close rally/sell off thus breaking what we might of determined the trend was is now something new a different...
A mantra of mine is "don't predict pivots, you don't know where the price action is going!"
There is a 'but'... some technical analysis people could extrapolate, based on patterns such rounded bottoms and historical data, that the odds of the current price action represents a trend reversal thus a beginning of a new trend is greater than 50/50.
Some traders spot the beginning of a trend with other "confirmation" techniques, such as, well, what ever they use.... but the good traders know the odds of their 'prediction' being completely wrong......
Others base it on fundamental data... interests rates, employment data, earnings, consumer sentiment and other factors.....
Then lets throw a 3rd dimension on a 2D world.... time frames... ok, let's skip that....
So what does that leave us?