How to Salvage a Ruined Position?

Quote from newwurldmn:

What is your position? How can you lose 2.5 on a box?

You should be playing for pennies - maybe a little more given the borrow issues with UNXL.

I was playing for 0.45 in a month on about $3.75 worth of margin. The strikes were 15/40, and my broker, Optionshouse charges essentially 15% extra margin on a box spread.

So, $25/share x %15 = $3.75 margin, with me receiving $25.45 per share. Basically, I was expecting to just cash in the 0.45 in a month for better than 10% return on the margin.
 
The May 40-synthetic is 2.00 under the natural. I assume that it became HTB just very recently? The carry on these can double or triple in a year.

I am not here, we are not having this conversation.
 
Quote from monkeyjoe:

I was playing for 0.45 in a month on about $3.75 worth of margin. The strikes were 15/40, and my broker, Optionshouse charges essentially 15% extra margin on a box spread.

So, $25/share x %15 = $3.75 margin, with me receiving $25.45 per share. Basically, I was expecting to just cash in the 0.45 in a month for better than 10% return on the margin.

How is this spread 2.5 against you? Has the borrow blown out or is it a bid offer issue?
 
Quote from Ghost of Cutten:

The way to 'salvage' any bad position is always the same. Ask yourself "If I was flat, would I still strongly want to put on this position, given the hostile market action?". If the answer is not "yes definitely!" then you should exit the whole position immediately.

Attempts to deny the necessity of getting flat e.g. putting on a 'hedge' or spread, legging out, or any other reason, are net losing decisions, sometimes disastrously so.

If you can't bring yourself to exit the whole position at once, then exit half and see what happens. If things get worse, exit the rest. This reduces the pressure of making an all-or-nothing decision, and some people find it easier to exit piecemeal.

Quote from poyayan:

So true. The past has no meaning in evaluating your current position. If the trade still make sense at this moment at this price, keep it or even add to it. If the trade doesn't make sense at this moment at this price, get out of it. Whether it is carrying a profit or loss has no bearing in your decision making.

Quote from Butterball:

"If you have a losing position that is making you uncomfortable, the solution is very simple: Get out, because you can always get back in."

-- Paul Tudor Jones

Word. I know all this, but it certainly helps to be reminded.

I guess my question had better be rephrased:

I am currently in a position which will gain ~$2.95/share, if I can hold it until May expiry. Problem is, holding it eats up all my margin, and if the short call early exercises, I am completely f----d as a result, with a $2.50 loss being locked in. So, any suggestions on how to mitigate that risk so I can turn my current $2.50 loss into a $0.45 gain?

This is a total noob mistake because if I had had the right size, then I could've used margin to delta hedge the move and not be in this predicament.
 
Quote from newwurldmn:

How is this spread 2.5 against you? Has the borrow blown out or is it a bid offer issue?

Both. Without the bid/offer it is about 2.25 from the borrow.
 
Quote from atticus:

The May 40-synthetic is 2.00 under the natural. I assume that it became HTB just very recently? The carry on these can double or triple in a year.

I am not here, we are not having this conversation.

Thanks atticus. It was hard to borrow initially, but apparently that has blown out like crazy and I didn't realize the risks.

The main problem is size. I can't even get into the May 40-synthetic to delta hedge without capitalizing some of the loss as all my margin is used up. Like I said, noob mistake on size.

All - do you think it's good advice to capitalize some of the loss in order to delta hedge with the synthetic? I feel here like I shouldn't be trusting the deltas because of the borrow.
 
Quote from monkeyjoe:

Word. I know all this, but it certainly helps to be reminded.

I guess my question had better be rephrased:

I am currently in a position which will gain ~$2.95/share, if I can hold it until May expiry. Problem is, holding it eats up all my margin, and if the short call early exercises, I am completely f----d as a result, with a $2.50 loss being locked in. So, any suggestions on how to mitigate that risk so I can turn my current $2.50 loss into a $0.45 gain?

This is a total noob mistake because if I had had the right size, then I could've used margin to delta hedge the move and not be in this predicament.

Delta hedge a change in borrow? The position is directionally-agnostic. The problem is that the synthetics "dropped".

Look at the price of the 40-strike May synthetic.
 
Quote from atticus:

Delta hedge a change in borrow? The position is directionally-agnostic. The problem is that the synthetics "dropped".

Look at the price of the 40-strike May synthetic.

Right. So what on earth do I do? Am I forced to lock in the whole trade at a loss?

I am trying to figure out how to limit the downside of waiting (i.e., early exercise risk on my short calls) but still retain some upside if I can make it to expiry? Is this just foolish?

It's not that getting exercised is any worse than the current position, it's that if the underlying moves up further, then I fear becoming exponentially f--d by the position.
 
Quote from monkeyjoe:

Thanks atticus. It was hard to borrow initially, but apparently that has blown out like crazy and I didn't realize the risks.

The main problem is size. I can't even get into the May 40-synthetic to delta hedge without capitalizing some of the loss as all my margin is used up. Like I said, noob mistake on size.

All - do you think it's good advice to capitalize some of the loss in order to delta hedge with the synthetic? I feel here like I shouldn't be trusting the deltas because of the borrow.

Yeah, it's too late to do anything unless some shares materialize. I feel for you, Brother. Years ago, I had a similar scenario in a large TASR box. The 15s are going to be a problem.

Trading the synth is ok, but my guess is that it won't drop further. It's at a <$2 discount as of the close.
 
Quote from monkeyjoe:

Right. So what on earth do I do? Am I forced to lock in the whole trade at a loss?

I am trying to figure out how to limit the downside of waiting (i.e., early exercise risk on my short calls) but still retain some upside if I can make it to expiry? Is this just foolish?

It's not that getting exercised is any worse than the current position, it's that if the underlying moves up further, then I fear becoming exponentially f--d by the position.

You can't do anything about the 15s and any further rally isn't going to impact the ex/assignment. When the stuff goes discount (15-strike) you'll get assigned. It's probably there already. You need to stick with five and ten-wides on these sort of things to withstand the var on the borrow. It's like trading boxes on SPX with rates going from 5 to 80%.

Selling the synth isn't a good bet here. It's an implied rate of >60%.
 
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