How to play the election

Any instrument can be overpriced and almost any can be underpriced.

If you believe that the difference between your opinions and that of the average market participant is that you think the market will go down if Clinton is elected, while the average market participant thinks the market will not drop in that case, and you think you basically agree with the average market participant about everything else, then I can understand why you might buy a put on stocks (or just short stocks), but why are you also considering buying a call? In other words, what makes you think calls are currently underpriced?
 
comagnum said:
The rally has most likely already happened - today. The stock traders almanac shows the day before the election has finished up 81.3% of the time.
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The stock trader's almanac is a piece of shit because it has a very small sample in almost every report.
 
Do you have betting shops in the US ?
The odds may be different to Europe that has a more detached viewing point.
Hillary 1/5
Trump 4/1

As they put their money on it they are probably right
 
The stock trader's almanac is a piece of shit because it has a very small sample in almost every report.
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Seriously - going back to the 50's is plenty of data. It has 4.5 stars on Amazon. Mine has paid for itself a zillion times over. Some of the data goes back to 1913. Can you give an example of what you are talking about?
 
comagnum said:
The stock trader's almanac is a piece of shit because it has a very small sample in almost every report.
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Seriously - going back to the 50's is plenty of data. It has 4.5 stars on Amazon. Mine has paid for itself a zillion times over. Some of the data goes back to 1913. Can you give an example of what you are talking about?
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Simple, as an expert in statistics I demand my samples to be in the hundreds, preferable in the thousands, this almanac fails miserably in that regard.
 
Simple, as an expert in statistics I demand my samples to be in the hundreds, preferable in the thousands, this almanac fails miserably in that regard.
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Freak, the stock market as we know it does not go back thousands of years. You can't get to anal about it - the data is plenty to work with. Well I am an expert in analyzing statistics to turn into profits - today we had an 81% up day occurrence going back to the 50's - it does not get any better than that.
 
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