how to hedge against the USD equity portfolio?
- Thread starter emk662
- Start date
Sorry, I wouldn't know. If I knew what the future holds in place for us, I would be the richest man alive and not Jeff Bezos. Not that I'm complaining, just saying
To be absolutely frank, I consider every person pretending to know the answer to a question like this a charlatan.Why are you asking anyway? I can't see the connection to your hedging problem.
Buy Puts or sell your position
Everything else will create basis risk you won’t understand.
If you spend in USD then you do nothing. If you don’t spend in USD then you convert to a currency you spend in.
Ok, so it's really not about hedging for you anymore. If you're worried about the U.S. and pretty much the state of the world to such an enormous extent, there are few alternatives. The USD is one of the most stable currencies in the world. It is the international trade and reserve currency number one, it is also the world's most borrowed currency. During uncertain times it has a sort of safe haven status because creditors must buy dollar liqudity to reduce their risk of defaulting on their bonds during crises, although perhaps not as much as the Swiss franc or Japanese yen.
Still, if you're based in the U.S. there's not really an alternative for you. Moving your money abroad isn't that easy and it would put FX risk into the equation. If you're based outside of the U.S., why not convert the USD back into your home currency?
Some would consider gold to be safe, but I personally disagree with that. I never got why people think gold is a safe store of value or even a currency by itself. Plus, governments have confiscated gold in the past. (I know, many will disagree.)
Which options do you have left? If you truly fear anarchy, buy yourself a bunker, plenty of food and perhaps a gun to defend yourself. No asset will help you if what you envisage will become reality.
Seriously though, I doubt things will turn out as badly as you fear they will.Long VIX?
VIX is not againt currency depreciation.
The Black Lives Matter movement now spilled to Paris where some people even demand whites leave the city. The birth rate among blacks is much higher than whites and in the near future the Paris will indeed becomes a black city. It will be like South Africa. The downturn of economy is inevitable.
The US will not fare better. And US also faces a large trade deficit. The currency depreciation may happen in a sudden such are the cases in the history like Plaza Accord. The living standard will be much worse then.
I think the best way is to hold a stable currency and use margin to trade US stocks currently. So, the discussion turns to which country will be better. Do you guys have any ideas? Thanks.
The Black Lives Matter movement now spilled to Paris where some people even demand whites leave the city. The birth rate among blacks is much higher than whites and in the near future the Paris will indeed becomes a black city. It will be like South Africa. The downturn of economy is inevitable.
The US will not fare better. And US also faces a large trade deficit. The currency depreciation may happen in a sudden such are the cases in the history like Plaza Accord. The living standard will be much worse then.
I think the best way is to hold a stable currency and use margin to trade US stocks currently. So, the discussion turns to which country will be better. Do you guys have any ideas? Thanks.