Quote from a529612:
I always get fearful that I'm just renting profit and exit some of my best trades early while they are going my way. Any suggestions?
For me the solution was trading with the correct size.
I trade ER2(Russell 200 futures). I am an intraday scalper/daytrader. I had the same issue you are describing. I solved the problem by reducing my maximum size. The size I trade with today ----- I never have the fear that one trade will destroy me.
I will first describe what I mean by "max size". I trade using Trading Technologies(TT) as my front end. My clearing firm sets the max size I am able to trade using TT. Currently my max size in ER2 is 10 contracts. If for example I attempt to trade 11 contracts my order will be rejected.
ER2 is a very volatile contract. On any given trade I could lose 20 ticks(2 points) in under 1 minute. Emotionally I have to be able to withstand a 20 tick loss. Trading 10 contracts this would be a $2000 loss. I would not be happy being down $2000, but I am confident that I could make this money back. If not by the end of the day at least by the end of the week.
Even if the worst case scenario has never happened to you your subconscious is very aware of the chance of catastrophe. As long as your maximum trade size has the possibility of
catastrophe fear will control your trading.
I will describe my experience with catastrophic size. Before I reduced my size to 10 max size my max size was 20 contracts. With 20 contracts I could potentially lose $4,000 on any given trade in under 1 minute. I am not confident I can make $4,000 back by the end of the trading day or even by the end of the week. I also am not confident I would exit the trade if it became a $4,000 loser!! When my max size was 20 I was profitable, but not consistent. For example in July I was profitable 16 out of 20 days, but the 4 losing days were 5 times my average winning day. So subconsciously I was always fearful. S H I T even consciously I always felt stress! With this cloud of fear in my mind I never held trades long enough. No matter what size I was trading at the time I would always exit early.
Since I reduced my max size to 10 contracts I have been profitable for 14 days straight!! By the way I did not just reduce my max size. I also reduced the amount of money I have in my trading account. This way if I am down money I cannot call the risk manager at my clearing firm to increase my size because I only have enough money in my account to cover the margin for max of 10 contracts.
For the first time in my trading career I feel I am in
complete control of my trading. I am trading much better because I am not afraid of a
catastrophic loss. The most I have been down in the last 14 days was $2500. I can live with a losing day of 2-3 thousand. Again I would not be happy with this, but it would not destroy my confidence.
So I would suggest the following.
1)
Calculate what the worst case scenario could be on any given trade. For me 20 ticks is what a trade could go against me before I could react. So I
must be comfortable losing 20 ticks trading with my max size.
2) Reduce your size to this comfortable size.
3) Reduce the amount of money in your trading account to cover the margin for your max size.