Quote from Brianharvey:
Traderzones, why do you think he doesn't stand a chance?
I mean, he's ALREADY been doing it for 3 years, no? Making money every year.
You dont know whether he has been "doing it on paper", had terrible money management, had a lot of luck along the way and a lot of other things. What if he made $75,000 on 1-2 trades due to extreme fortune and meandered all the rest of the time? Do you know his Sharpe, Profit Factor? max DD? you see his broker statements? Do you know whether he is trading with a $5,000 or $500,000 account? without a lot of information, this is almost meaningless.
If he started a thread 3 years ago about whether to start trading part time, you would have definitely told him 'No!! everyone fails. you'll lose all your money'
Well...you'd have been wrong, and cost him $75k so far, lol!
obviously, you know nothing about this trader, you are making many assumptions. What if
Are you saying that the added pressure of it being his only source of income will lead to him failing? 3 years is a long time. He obviously knows how to trade.
Others have already said that in this thread. If you doubt this, you are a long way from being a successful trader yourself. And no it is NOT obvious.
I know trading is very hard with a high failure rate, but I think you're being overly negative.
I think I am being very accurate. You seem not to grasp what is really involved in moving into a "support yourself, 3 kids and a wife" arena.
Some people ARE able to make money trading.
$50? For 3 months? Or $70,000 annually for 10 years on a $40K account? You are so nebulous, your statements are almost irrelevant. From your assesment, I doubt you are one of them, in a longterm, lucrative POV.
If his post was about how he'd been trading 5 years fulltime profitably trading, and was asking advice as to whether to take a good job offer or carry on trading, id assunme you'd say stop trading?
you make many assumptions. What I said was dead on. You should try and read all the other posts in this forum, and you will see many people giving him similar advice. The cheerleaders here, who are likely paper traders, are not helping him at all.
The more you know about trading, the more you will become like those telling him not to jump out into the abyss and drag his family down with him. The less you know, the more you will say "go for it, dude...!"