FredBloggs
Guest
read some of grob's posts about drills. convert what he is saying to your own method.
Quote from focusonmoney:
The only reason why you are doing these things is because you lack confidence and understanding.. Once you understand how the market works it will bring you confidence.. You will have to build a system base on how the market works.. Once you have that most of your problems will go away..
Quote from Handle123:
1) This tells me your expectations are higher than the oblivious. I day trade the ES for eighteen years now, my daily goal is 2 points and then cut back 90% of my contract size. My day is boring all day long, this has become a job of sitting in front of my screens, or on my stationary bike or treadmill. It is not for excitement of making big bucks on any one trade, but for making consistent daily profits. I concentrate on steady growth, not wild swings.
2) Any time I want to change or backtest my methods, I use a sample size of 1000 DAYS.. Backtesting shows me largest drawdowns. And if I have a losing trade in a trend trade, one of my rules are either waiting for trend reversal or higher highs for uptrend or lower lows for downtrend before I can enter another trend trade. If I miss the move, so what, more later on or tomorrow. Only element I can control is risk, if I get in worse, risk increases as well most of the time.
3) I don't know if my heart will beat a second from now, so I don't know where the price will go when it reverses. Unless I know there is a past S/R to extend my target, I have set targets.
All I can ever do is guess where trend might end, but there is no such thing as overbought or oversold.
4) In my backtesting, my goal is perfect for me, once I make my 2 points, it is impossible of having a bad day. I have learned my method has a "mean" of six trades a day, if I reach six trades and down on the day, I quit for the day. It doesn't mean I am doing something wrong, but price is not lining up right for my method. My main concentration on each trade is getting to a Breakeven protective stop, I have stopped long ago of finding better entries, but keep studying for better money management ideas.
5) Ever trade has great profit/loss potential. Each trade by itself is 50/50 of success, how you manage it determines what your losing percentage will be. I concentrate on having a low losing percentage.
Quote from LeeD:
Thanks to everyone who replied both in this thread and privately!
I took some time off to relax using the festive period as an excuse (I enjoy travelling) and took time to reflect on the advice offered.
I am working on improving my decision process. Thanks!
The instrument is exchange rates, mainly vai currency futures. When I started the thread I was doing 2-5 trades on a typical day. I was concerned that occasionally I did up to 10 trades and these days were usually deep-down days. Further, I often utilised a narrow stop. So, I got stopped and re-entered the same trade at a worse level than the stop price.
I am not sure I can have a picture of how many trading oppotunities a day may present. However, now I am attempting to create a picture of what levels at which I may want to enter and exit trades before the trading session starts. This plan helps look at the price action from a "larger" prospective and avoid trade entries based on fear of missing a fast price move.
This is one of the best pieces of advice I have ever received. My best day have been when I was rested and could keep positive attitude. My worst days have been when I was tired, distressed, in a rush, or felt pressed to produce fast profit.
I am not prepared to do just 1-2 trades per day as an absolute rule yet. However, in the last month (since I read this suggestion) I did more than 2 trades in a day just once and a typical day involved just one trade.
This means I could finish some trading sessions in just an hour or 2 and have lots of time to rest, reflect and research.
I am not prepared yet to aim 80 ticks in 3-4 trades. I understand bigger trades wil come with experience and patience. However, being able to moderate my expectations regarding gain on a single trade (along with aiming just 1-2 trades per day) has apparently improved my performance more than I could expect. Thanks!
The toughest bit here is to keep working on a particular trade without a concern regarding the performance of previous trades...
... and at the same time keep capital preservation in check.
I'll keep working on a mental state that could make these non-issue.
I see a number of threads on this forum regarding how to make trading less boring... by I appreciate trading becomes prfitable when most emotions are left behind and it feels like a trade rather than art.
It's purely an emotional issue. When you are at the end of a month you may want to hit a certain target such as a round number. The same counts for the end of a week or a day. Further, if there is a sequence of loosing trades, not everyone is prepared to run it forever.
This was exactly the question in the opening post. How to keep emotions in check so as to follow the plan?
This makes sense. However, my original question was regarding doing trades I shouldn't have really done if I could keep emotions in check. I know frequent trading can be very successful but closing a trade and re-entering at worse a level isn't an example of where it works.
In this thread the advise is mainly given against cold.
This is a good one! I am currently running a journal with entry/exit pojnts and motivation for entry as well as whether the trade was stopped and other details. Marking each trade with potential psychological problems is a good idea.
Similarly, some tme ago I discovered it was ridiculously easy to make a few ticks on a trade. The issue (besides being highly stressful) was that after doing five 2-tick trades I would loose 8-12 ticks in a single trade neagating the profit. I realised that by learning to hold position for longer a time I could get the same gain in fewer trades with less uncertainty. Traders that can anticipate laonger moves and keep a trade on for days or weeks must be massively profitable but I am not there yet.
This is an interesting point. I identified a few time periods when I seemed to consistently loose money but as my skills improved these time periods didn't seem to present as much of an issue.
Thanks for sharing your experiences! They are a great material for thought!
Thanks! As long as the capital preservation prevails, I'll see another day.
This is probabbly a fair way to describe my expectations. In the hindsight, I always see how some of the trades could have resulted in masive gains. However, aiming for such tardes I fail to realise substantial profit more often than not. So far I am learning to moderate my expectations.Quote from Handle123:
1) This tells me your expectations are higher than the oblivious.
Now I know where to aim. From your post in a different thread it appears if you start running a loss early in the day you abandon the target and just aim for the break-even. That's the main rule I should learn. Historically, on days when I had a couple or more trades in a row that resulted in a stop, I assumed it was a day with good volatility and was trying to turn a substantial loss into a more than average profit. This often resulted in a daily loss...Quote from Handle123:
I day trade the ES for eighteen years now, my daily goal is 2 points and then cut back 90% of my contract size. My day is boring all day long, this has become a job of sitting in front of my screens, or on my stationary bike or treadmill. It is not for excitement of making big bucks on any one trade, but for making consistent daily profits. I concentrate on steady growth, not wild swings.
That's one of the psychological challenges I find: see a potential for profit and calmly miss it. The signal I have currently for trend end is not very reliable... but when I assume the trend is finished before this signal (based on level of resistance or what not), it's usually a costly decision.Quote from Handle123:
2) Any time I want to change or backtest my methods, I use a sample size of 1000 DAYS.. Backtesting shows me largest drawdowns. And if I have a losing trade in a trend trade, one of my rules are either waiting for trend reversal or higher highs for uptrend or lower lows for downtrend before I can enter another trend trade.
"Only element I can control is risk" - I gotta remember that! Small gains add up as long as losses are under control....Quote from Handle123:
If I miss the move, so what, more later on or tomorrow. Only element I can control is risk, if I get in worse, risk increases as well most of the time.
When you start a trade you must be taking a certain view. So, is the statement above admission of fallibility? Do you mean to say you don't get emotionally attached to a trade?Quote from Handle123:
3) I don't know if my heart will beat a second from now, so I don't know where the price will go when it reverses. Unless I know there is a past S/R to extend my target, I have set targets.
All I can ever do is guess where trend might end, but there is no such thing as overbought or oversold.
Meaningful stop-for-the-day rule is something I am still developing. Simple maximum day loss number doesn't seem to be very good. If I run a loss early I still have time to make some back in a regular manner while late in the day I'll have to take excessive risk in order to counter a large-ish loss.Quote from Handle123:
4) In my backtesting, my goal is perfect for me, once I make my 2 points, it is impossible of having a bad day. I have learned my method has a "mean" of six trades a day, if I reach six trades and down on the day, I quit for the day. It doesn't mean I am doing something wrong, but price is not lining up right for my method.
Does it mean you miss a number of larger-gain trades because either price dips below the entry level before going in you favour? Or do you have such a good break-even trigger that most of would-be-profitable tradesd still result in a profit?Quote from Handle123:
My main concentration on each trade is getting to a Breakeven protective stop
Do you include the abilty to run the winners for the maximum gain?Quote from Handle123:
I have stopped long ago of finding better entries, but keep studying for better money management ideas.
Does it mean a lot of trades (probabbly, over 50%) have to result in break-even?Quote from Handle123:
5) Ever trade has great profit/loss potential. Each trade by itself is 50/50 of success, how you manage it determines what your losing percentage will be. I concentrate on having a low losing percentage.
Is 'grob' another name of Jack Hershey?Quote from FredBloggs:
read some of grob's posts about drills. convert what he is saying to your own method.
Been there, done that!Quote from knightrader:
This. But you are emotionally not there yet,so even that wouldn't help you.What you need is a big painfull loss.It is the very best lesson.
If I gave up every time I felt the path was getting difficult, I wouldn't be getting anywhere. There are certainly occasional easy ways to success (others call it being in the right place at the right time) but you can't rely on finding one every time. I appreciate giving me a credit for what is common sense.Quote from knightrader:
I say that because at least you have the guts to come here and show us your ass.Which tells me you don't give up easily
I am actively following a few routes to improve my decision-making. Steep learnign curve isn't called this for nothing.Quote from knightrader:
Unless you resolve these issues,blowup is just around the corner.
Changing yourself takes time. Let's hope I'll have something to report soon.Quote from knightrader:
Just for a change,come back and tell us what happened next...
I understand you aren't referring to the actual "emotions" here... Is it the same the techinique athlets use? They imagine themselves performing a certain difficult feat in great detail untill they can finally do it.Quote from diutinusfides:
When it comes to your state of mind, there are two ways that I've found you can alter your habits. The first is through practice and time, which allows you to build stronger and more positive habits over the previous ones. The other, and one that is not so commonly acknowledged is through emotion. Quite literally, if you put enough emotion into some thought of how you want to be, whilst acting it out constantly, youll find that sooner rather than later you'll actually act that way.
So, experince isn't a cure for boredom and lust for being adventurous, is it?Quote from diutinusfides:
For what it's worth, I am a completely self taught trader and I've struggled through all of those. I won't lie and say that I don't occasionally succumb to wanting to do each of the them today either.
Thanks! The book has very encouraging reviews on the Web. I have ordered a copy.Quote from bigpapi:
Recommend reading Trading In The Zone
Quote from drcha:
Your journal is a great idea; it will really help you. Perhaps you are already doing this (perhaps your journal contains this level of detail) but here is what I would suggest.
Keep a spreadsheet with your P/L. You might keep multiple spreadsheets for different types of trades.
For example, I have one sheet that has all my calendar spreads for the last two years--one line per round trip. It has the entry and exit dates, implied volatility, and other data about the trade and the P/L. When you scan through one of these sheets, over time, patterns begin to show themselves. You find out which kinds of things are working for you and which are not.
The reason I suggest this is because I frequently find that my recollection or my 'feel' for what is working is pretty inaccurate. If I actually look through the numbers, a different picture sometimes emerges.