How much would you pay to *know* when the real estate bull market starts?

Quote from Cutten:

Simple question - what would it be worth to you? Assuming it is a 99% reliable indicator.
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There is not such thing as %99 reliable indicator....
 
Unless new construction comes to a halt for an extended period of time I doubt the next turn up in real estate will be a bull market. Lending standards are back to normal with most people having to put 20% down, and that will keep the growth moderate after a bottom is established IMO.

I would not pay anything for the indicator, as I'll make my own analysis. Once an upturn comes real estate stocks will probably be a better investment that real estate.
 
I can already tell you the best indicator.

But, the reality is that the bull won't return in until people can qualify for the houses in which they live. Then the tradeup market can return.
 
interesting question, I guess it would depend on how much credit I could scoop up

knowing about the duration with almost certainty would probably be worth more, pyramiding 8 years compared to 5 makes a huge difference
 
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