heh. good basic strat... buying pullbacks.
Downside is that much of the time that this strat won't work (hence always having tight stops), but when it does work, large profits... so as it relates to expectancy, it is still positive, but win rate is lower (due to false breakouts or pullbacks) but the gain is larger.. tradeoff is smaller losses, but more frequent.
Kind of a related article here:
http://www.tigersharktrading.com/ar...nd-Disadvantages-of-Different-Trading-Systems
Basic stuff, but if one has the discipline to stick to the system, indeed money will be made.
Downside is that much of the time that this strat won't work (hence always having tight stops), but when it does work, large profits... so as it relates to expectancy, it is still positive, but win rate is lower (due to false breakouts or pullbacks) but the gain is larger.. tradeoff is smaller losses, but more frequent.
Kind of a related article here:
http://www.tigersharktrading.com/ar...nd-Disadvantages-of-Different-Trading-Systems
Basic stuff, but if one has the discipline to stick to the system, indeed money will be made.
The point I was trying to make is that buying breakouts or pullbacks (as it refers to a trend-trading model) tends to have a higher frequency of losers than winners. It's the nature of the system, so that is why strict risk management rules must be adhered to. The reason for this is because of false breakouts... you get more of those than you get good ones, yet the relatively fewer winners will be larger than your losers...