There is no such thing. If the stop does not produce random results then it must have an edge on the opposite side. Aka a holy grail.
How much is a good Stoploss system method worth?
- Thread starter themickey
- Start date
There is no such thing. If the stop does not produce random results then it must have an edge on the opposite side. Aka a holy grail.
No such thing as what?
A good stop loss system is definitely an edge, but holy grail, yup, no holy grail.
There is no entry system in existence which is a holy grail, and neither an exit system.
But, think about it, if you had a wonderful entry system but a poor exit system (clunky, time consuming, very limiting in application), you have nothing virtually. The best entry method in the world matched with a crap exit system = crap.
One could say, many traders spend years discovering a good profitable system.
So they devote considerable effort discovering how to analyse the markets.
But if it takes years of blood sweat and tears getting to this point, they also need to spend resources on how to best be efficient in exiting. Pushing the buy button is easy, hitting the exit button is often painful.
So they devote considerable effort discovering how to analyse the markets.
But if it takes years of blood sweat and tears getting to this point, they also need to spend resources on how to best be efficient in exiting. Pushing the buy button is easy, hitting the exit button is often painful.
mr dozu888
...sell the news, i like it, here's the quick and dirty search if anyone has the urge to take a glance into the idea. more and better related info posts welcome f'sure.
meanwhile here's some q and d methodology
I found one for intraday traders on youtube, so it's a pretty sure bet to work great!
I found one for position traders on youtube, so it's double sure bet to work great!
Search term: trade on events - e.g. enter 2 weeks before the Fed cut/ earning release/ trade deal signing
Individual Investor Trading and Return Patterns around Earnings ...
https://gates.comm.virginia.edu/uvafinanceseminar/Saar Paper 08.pdf
around earnings announcements,. 2 and that returns are abnormally high (low) in ... We find that stocks that individuals bought in the ten days prior to the earnings ... small trades as proxies for the trades of individual investors (e.g., Lee (1992), ... relation between individual trading prior to the event and subsequent returns).
The Stock Market Response to Earnings Announcements Released ...
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2491122
Section 2 describes why the market reactions to daytime and over- night announcements ... Similarly, for earnings released during trading hours on day t ("daytime" announce- ... big news events to provide a longer period of information dissemina- ..... ment date, scaled by stock price two days before the announcement date.
Information Content of Earnings Announcements: Evidence from ...
https://www.jstor.org/stable/23351985
quarterly earnings announcements released outside of the normal trading hours. For. Standard ... for only 3% of daily trading volume.2 However, volume in AHT is event driven. .... We hypothesize that price discovery on earnings announcement days is higher ...... Hence, we use trade size to gauge the type of trades in AHT.
Individual Investor Trading and Return Patterns around Earnings ...
http://rkaniel.simon.rochester.edu/papers/earnings.pdf
accumulated by individuals in the 10 days prior to earnings announcements ... 2 Many results concerning individual investor trading in the United States are established using ..... that grab their attention (e.g., due to an earnings announcement). .... according to net individual trading before the event, and report just the row ...
What Happens Around Earning Announcements ... - Semantic Scholar
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/7eb1/e3343a41d55c58d0da2f5708425b78d8e2bf.pdf
investor trading behaviour around earnings announcements for all firms in the market for the ... the two weeks before the release date. We also show .... 2) Data regarding stock daily prices for all stocks and market index were provided by the ... Abnormal returns are then aggregated across two dimensions, across events or.
The Timing of Insider Trades around Earnings ... - Semantic Scholar
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/b903/15f97d47c16cf24f6732ca64eea12c02118a.pdf
shares before bad news (e.g., Enron and Global Crossing). ... single period earnings report (for example, Sivakumar and Waymire, 1994; Noe ... 2 In this paper, we use insider trading to refer to all trades of company stock by top executives from their personal .... specifically identify the type of information insiders trade on.
Trading Behavior around Earnings Announcements
http://www.fmaconferences.org/Boston/Trading_Behavior_around_Earnings_Announcements.pdf
response to earnings news, leading to under-reaction and PEAD.2 Motivated by Bernard and ... investors, e.g., institutional investors, are likely to trade in a way that .... price 10 trading days prior to the earnings announcement date. ... stock by investor type (individual, institutional, or foreign investors) are from the Institute of.
Trading Earnings - Fidelity - Fidelity Investments
https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/trading-earnings
Mar 7, 2018 ... Please enter a valid email address ... A stock can move in response to an earnings report. ... Earnings season, which usually lasts a few weeks each quarter, is a period ... Before considering how you might trade a stock around an earnings ... For instance, if a trader is in a short-term long stock position (e.g., ...
How Markets React to Earnings Announcements in the ... - CiteSeerX
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.425.4006&rep=rep1&type=pdf
weeks, indicating the presence of a post–earnings announcement drift, ... characteristics which distinguish it from many developed and emerging markets (e.g., high .... Notes: Year of Trade, Number of investors present in the Saudi Stock Market, .... abnormal return across event observations from day 1 = −1 to day 2 ...
Twitter sentiment around the Earnings Announcement events - Plos
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0173151
Feb 24, 2017 ... On the day before the announcements, the Twitter volume is low, and ... of a stock on average, over several different events of the same type. ... and the reported valuation of a company in its earnings report. ..... Fig 2. Daily number of tweets (A) and trading volume (B) around the Earnings Announcements.
The Earnings Announcement Return Cycle - American Economic ...
https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/2019/preliminary/paper/YrbKK6Zn
ment and plot (1) the average market-adjusted returns (solid line) and (2) the percentage of positive ... running from two weeks before an announcement to a week after it, stocks continue to ... return; we report three-day moving averages of these returns. ... always announce their earnings exactly every 63 trading days.
Company Earnings Calendar - Yahoo Finance
https://finance.yahoo.com/calendar/earnings
Results 1 - 18 of 18 ... Events Calendar for: ... Yahoo Finance•2 hours ago. Coca-Cola earnings — What to know in markets Friday. Beverage giant Coca-Cola will report quarterly results Friday. ... One way would be to spend days of research browsing through ... Coca-Cola is currently trading at a price-to-forward-earnings ratio ...
Twitter sentiment around the Earnings Announcement events - NCBI
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5325598/
Feb 24, 2017 ... This type of analysis is enabled by the “event study” methodology [15, 16], ... analysts and the reported valuation of a company in its earnings report. .... a query is specified by the stock cash-tag (e.g., “$MSFT” for Microsoft). Table 2 ... Consequently, the day 0 trading for the AfterClose announcements occurs ...
3 Earnings Reports to Watch Next Week: PG, MSFT, and AMZN ...
https://investorplace.com/2019/10/earnings-reports-to-watch-next-week-earnings-calendar/
There will be earnings reports next week that might give a preview of next ... Active Trading ... Earnings Report Date: Tuesday, Oct. 22, before market open.
Earnings Releases - Wilson Sonsini
https://www.wsgr.com/attorneys/BIOS/PDFs/bochner0308.pdf
Oxley Act. Both quarterly earnings press releases ... fiscal quarter and between 60 to 90 days follow- ... 2. (Nasdaq) and the New York Stock Exchange. (NYSE), have prompted issuers to ..... collects and analyzes financial data, coordinates input from CEO, ... (e.g., providing notice to insiders when the trading window opens.
How to Listen to Earnings Conference Calls - TheStreet
https://www.thestreet.com/story/10353956/1/how-to-listen-to-an-earnings-call.html
Learn how to research and analyze earnings calls and transcripts for critical details. ... Step 2. Read the Earnings Release. Obtain a copy of the earnings release as ... as encouragement for shareholders - or, in the event of a disappointing quarter, ... pro-forma): While all companies must provide GAAP results (e.g., revenue), ...
The timing of earnings announcements and volatility - Columbia ...
https://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty-research/sites/faculty-research/files/LYLE LRSY_April_18_2018.pdf
Apr 18, 2018 ... turn volatility persists for at least four trading days after the announcement. .... (2015) find that earnings announcements released after market close receive ... around events (e.g., Bushee et al., 2011; Kirk and Markov, 2016; Matsumoto et .... Panel A of Table 2 presents the descriptive statistics for PO and PC ...
Why do stocks go up or down after earnings? - Quora
https://www.quora.com/Why-do-stocks-go-up-or-down-after-earnings
When companies report their earnings, that obviously releases ... ... EG ABC misses quarterly EPS by a cent; and sees a 2% price decline, 40c off a ... Just enter a name to search. ... Why do stocks drop for 5 mins after good earnings and then go up? ... [Fundamental events may drive the price of a stock higher or lower, but ...
We Asked a Professional End of Day Swing Trader 35 Questions ...
https://blog.stocktwits.com/we-aske...estions-heres-what-he-had-to-say-a49c32bbfd44
2 days? A week? A month? Do you rely on moving averages(MAs), MACD, or RSI a lot? ... I always use MAs, not for trade signals, but for general context and to quickly identify setups. .... trading with options except protect longer term positions during earnings events, etc. ... We created the $ prefix for stocks (e.g. $AAPL).
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US-Japan trade deal: Countries sign limited trade deal Wednesday
https://www.usatoday.com/story/mone...sign-limited-trade-deal-wednesday/2447415001/
Sep 25, 2019 ... The U.S. and Japan signed a limited trade deal that will eliminate tariffs and expand ... Abe said the agreement is good for both countries.
Trans-Pacific Partnership - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Pacific_Partnership
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), also called the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, is a defunct proposed trade agreement ... In January 2017, the United States withdrew from the agreement. .... are parties to the Transpacific Economic Partnership Agreement, which was signed in 2005, and entered into force in 2006.
United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States%E2%80%93Mexico%E2%80%93Canada_Agreement
The Agreement between the United States of America, the United Mexican States, and Canada ... The USMCA was signed by United States President Donald Trump, Mexican ... 1 Background and nomenclature; 2 Negotiations; 3 Provisions .... The trade agreement was signed on November 30, 2018 by all three parties at ...
Trump Says U.S. and Japan Have Reached Initial Trade Agreement ...
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/16/business/trump-japan-trade-deal.html
Sep 16, 2019 ... The trade pact, while limited, is expected to increase access for ... administration said it would enter into a trade agreement with Japan ... Speaking to reporters at the event, the United States trade ... The administration has been racing to conclude the deal before Mr. Trump travels to New York next week, ...
Trump Reaches Revised Trade Deal With Mexico, Threatening to ...
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/27/us/politics/us-mexico-nafta-deal.html
Aug 27, 2018 ... The preliminary agreement is a major step for President Trump, who has threatened to scrap Nafta. ... American Free Trade Agreement and would finalize it within days, ... “We will only sign a new Nafta that is good for Canada and good for .... Reader Center · Wirecutter · Live Events · The Learning Network ...
USMCA, the new trade deal between the US, Canada, and Mexico ...
https://www.vox.com/2018/11/30/18119700/usmca-nafta-replacement-g20-trump
Nov 30, 2018 ... Just signed one of the most important, and largest, Trade Deals in U.S. and .... It also offers increased protections for a certain type of drug from eight ... to ensure that the country has reliable supplies in the event of a war. .... That report is due 105 days after the official signing, so probably sometime in March.
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The Fed is likely to lower rates again this week - CNBC.com
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/16/fed-decision-expectations-rising-that-rate-cut-might-not-happen.html
Sep 16, 2019 ... Traders in the fed funds futures market are pricing in a 34% chance that the ... VIDEO2:5302:53 ... it more difficult for the Fed to cut rates further,” said Beth Ann Bovino, ... “Investors have concluded that without the U.S.-China trade conflict, it's probably not likely that the Fed would be cutting rates at this point.
Week ahead: The stock market is poised to set a new record if the ...
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/13/wee...w-record-if-the-federal-reserve-delivers.html
Sep 13, 2019 ... The Fed is expected to cut rates by a quarter point Wednesday, but what it says ... Stocks were higher for the week and on Friday trading less than one ... That is well above the Fed's 2% target, but the Fed prefers to watch PCE ...
With Trump Trade War a Threat, Fed Is Set to Cut ... - Transport Topics
https://www.ttnews.com/articles/trump-trade-war-threat-fed-set-cut-rates-again
Sep 16, 2019 ... WASHINGTON —The Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates to try to protect the economy from President Donald Trump's trade war with China. ... to unexpected events, such as oil price spikes resulting from the ... In explaining its move to cut its key short-term rate to a range of 2% to 2.25%, the Fed cited ...
Fed Cuts Interest Rates by Another Quarter Point - The New York ...
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/18/business/economy/fed-interest-rate-cut.html
Sep 18, 2019 ... The Federal Reserve cut rates for the second time since July as risks to the economic outlook mounted. ... The Fed's policy interest rate is now set in a range of 1.75 to 2 ... trade war and prospects of an unruly British withdrawal from the .... and banks, surged at the start of the week amid a shortage of dollars.
Fed's Evans Doesn't Anticipate Another Rate Cut for 2019 - WSJ
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-s-evans-doesn-t-anticipate-another-rate-cut-for-2019-11569430349
Sep 25, 2019 ... Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans said he entered the Fed's policy meeting last week thinking the two rate cuts already made this ... A slowing global economy and uncertainty over trade policy are ... Mr. Evans said he expects the Fed's two rate cuts this year to help lift inflation to the central bank's 2% target, ...
Weekly global economic update | Deloitte Insights
https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html
5 days ago ... What's happening this week in economics? ... said that he still thinks the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates despite the new trade deal.
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Around 2012 I started to "market time" my 401K, went to cash and watched as the market marched upwards. Did this for about a year and said screw this, went all in with equities and started maxing out my 401k contribution. Now, my 401k is set for "aggressive growth" and it re-balances once per quarter in a mixture of low cost equity mutual funds. At some point I will revisit having a long term timing system for my retirement account, but for now it is set it and forget it.
Honestly, I wouldn’t bother seeking alpha outside of intraday signals. Once you go unhedged overnight, you lose your risk control, liquidity, and probably a lot of sleep too. Not my cup of tea. Life is too short.
MattZ
Sponsor
@themickey Thank you for your perspective. Coming from the Futures world, my customers trade at most 5 instruments (from what I observed) and some single one that they focus on. When you trade 1000 stocks that you monitor daily, I agree that different risk management may be necessary.
I think it’s time the site operators set text limits. Too many encyclopedia posts like this. It’s irritating to scroll through.