If you repeated the lottery win every day then maybe. But one hit wonder does not make you consistent profitable. The 2 week May period is just meant as a snapshot of consistent profitable traders as most Elitetraders are referring to the former polls. If you just made a lucky punch with 1 good trade only this May, you should not vote. Keep it simple and do not overthink that.
And for me a performance of 100% within 2 weeks is usually a sign of too much risk, as you cannot hold that performance. If you did it for 2 years you would 2*24 = ca. 16 Million times your inital deposit, which is not possible for all trading strategies. If you double 2 times every month you cannot hold that for long, so I really wonder myself and I ask in the round, do you consider that as pure gambling or what do you think on that performance number ? Maybe those persons in the actual poll had just been very lucky with their recent trades but even then there must be too much risk involved in my opinion. I mean what kind of drawdown you can have or expect with more than doubling your account on every month ? But all in all it is not totally impossible on the other side. Interpreted this kind of +100% performance on 2 weeks in Sharpe Ratio would mean something like a ratio of 7 and higher. That would be as good as Jim Simons his Rentec fund in his better time periods.
Last just to give it in the round as one more input in the discussion. I had no more than ca. 6% drawdown (as peak to valley drawdown, I had no drawdown on initial amount, because my first trades this month were all winners and bigger wins) when I achieved this +20% so far in May here. For myself this is a reasonable relation, but I might hear other opinions here, especially about the involved risk when some (stellar) returns are achieved. Let us discuss little bit. Thanks.
