Originally posted by rs7
I know from reading posts here than just about everyone but me makes a ton of money right away. I just wonder if this is a site that attracts only the born to win trading geniuses.
Just the contributions to this thread I think already demonstrate that this site includes a few people who are quite realistic.
On the other hand, it wouldn't be surprising at all if active contributors to "Elite Trader" would skew a little bit towards "above average," if obviously not to a true "elite." As I suggested earlier, the vast majority of the vast majority who don't make it at all (bust out or give up) probably aren't frequenting trader's sites very much.
Excuse me if I get a little off-topic, but there's something I've been wondering - just some thoughts, offered with respect, from a trader of much less experience and accomplishment: You keep on bringing up how much trouble the traders at your firm have been having lately. I get the impression that you're mostly "packers" or "sector/basket traders," though I'm entirely ready to be disabused of this notion. If that impression is at all correct, then I wonder if anyone over there has sat down with charts and studies, and has searched for concrete reasons why the particular method might not suit recent market conditions. The only other mega-basket trader I know (he learned his technique from the ProTrader founder, I believe) also was having a hard time recently - until he seemed more or less to disappear entirely.
Maybe there's not as much of the kind of market-wide momentum and follow-through, particularly long side momentum and follow through, that makes the strategy work best. There has been a strong downtrend, overall, especially in the Nasdaq, but a relatively high proportion of sessions have been closing higher than they open, and I would suspect that getting short in big baskets must be a somewhat less efficient process than getting long - perhaps because of the uptick rule, possibly because of the peculiar differences between falling markets and rising ones. There might be other reasons as well - maybe having to do with the washed-out situations of certain formerly excellent trading vehicles.
It's likewise possible that certain alternative strategies are quite well-suited to this market, though not necessarily to the maximal exploitation of buying power in a prop firm context.