I will of course refer my friend to this thread for all these terrific comments. Thank you.
I think it would be very hard to get audited financials for a private firm like this. Hopefully my friend would be able to contact some non-management employees to get more reliable info, although I don't know that the incomes of the various traders would be generally known even within the firm.
I was interested in lescor's comment that "those average incomes are probably going to come down a lot as volatility and volume dries up." I understand that volume is helpful in providing liquidity for traders. But what is a trader ideally seeking in terms of volatility? Is volatility without some kind of discernable pattern helpful to a trader?
Bear in mind that if my friend is hired, she might at the earliest start trading for herself about 18 months from now, so the curent state of the market is not especially important to her.
Bones' facetious comment may be the best, namely: "You're the smart one and the rest of the market are idiots."
The key questions it seems are these:
1. What percentage average return on invested capital do the best traders average making in a typical market? Since there are presumably some diseconomies of scale, assume that the trader is investing about $2 million in capital.
2. If the answer is 15% - 20%, then
a. It probably is unreasonable to think that fny traders have certain advantages, special knowledge, or skills that enable them on average to outperform these percentages significantly, and
b. Why would it make sense for fny to be willing to keep for itself as its return on firm capital only 7.5% - 10% gross, less all of the overhead expense of operating the firm?
Merry Christmas everyone!