I realized that I didn’t tell the whole story in my initial reply. Yes, I tended to be highly accurate but the main reason why I didn’t make money is because in the majority of instances, I’d talk myself out of taking the trade. There were times when I’d literally call the top or bottom tick in a move but would convince myself not to take the trade. I called the oil market crash but talked myself out of it. I also said that oil would recover to around $75 before selling off again...you know the rest. I can tell you stories all day about the major moves that I called and didn’t take advantage of.How come you were accurate but didn't make money? It doesn't make sense. Sounds like you were accurate only some of the time and when you were wrong you paid out more (poor risk/reward).
That's the major issue, a trader needs to be.....I realized that I didn’t tell the whole story in my initial reply. Yes, I tended to be highly accurate but the main reason why I didn’t make money is because in the majority of instances, I’d talk myself out of taking the trade. There were times when I’d literally call the top or bottom tick in a move but would convince myself not to take the trade. I called the oil market crash but talked myself out of it. I also said that oil would recover to around $75 before selling off again...you know the rest. I can tell you stories all day about the major moves that I called and didn’t take advantage of.
After that, the problem is as I told you before, poor execution. I was always too early, too late or had too tight of a stop. In some cases, I was just wrong but that’s part of the game and not a trading flaw.
I realized that I didn’t tell the whole story in my initial reply. Yes, I tended to be highly accurate but the main reason why I didn’t make money is because in the majority of instances, I’d talk myself out of taking the trade. There were times when I’d literally call the top or bottom tick in a move but would convince myself not to take the trade. I called the oil market crash but talked myself out of it. I also said that oil would recover to around $75 before selling off again...you know the rest. I can tell you stories all day about the major moves that I called and didn’t take advantage of.
After that, the problem is as I told you before, poor execution. I was always too early, too late or had too tight of a stop. In some cases, I was just wrong but that’s part of the game and not a trading flaw.
I did say that I loss in some cases due to being wrong but I don't really concern myself with those because that's part of the game and not necessarily a mental flaw.Are you sure it's not simply a case of selective memory? People tend to remember the correct calls while forgetting the wrong ones. Calling tops and bottom with good timing is probably the most difficult thing to do, especially if you do it in a discretionary fashion. Quantitatively it's easier as you can play the numbers.
I did say that I loss in some cases due to being wrong but I don't really concern myself with those because that's part of the game and not necessarily a mental flaw.
The question that should ask is which traders are making a living. learn from professionals, have a plan and you will make a living and you will not care about others.According to broker reports, around 80% of retail trading CFD are STRAIGHT UP LOSING. And even this seems like an optimistic number.
I would say:
if 80% are losing
----another 10% are just getting by and not losing(breakeven)
--------5% are making some money
------------4% are making a living
-----------------1% are ballers
What do you think? Or is there any sophisticated data on the topic with more details?
You can increase the probability by knowing which, where and when to get into any entrepreneurial endeavor.