How Low Could Volty Go?

Quote from oldnemesis:



using distribution statistics the Prob that Vix will be > 12 in April = 49%


:-)
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I had the exact same chart as you do on my screen! :)

What is that prob? Is it the prob. volty will never visit above 12? Volty during the month of april? Other?
 
Always remember buy low sell high... Always a timing factor when going long or short vol.... Hard to tell but dec is usually low vol...
 
Well, nobody wants to start a war before Christmas.

The only compelling play for me is to buy Vol after the holidays.
 
Quote from cdcaveman:

Always remember buy low sell high...
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Buying high and selling higher (or selling low and buying back lower) is even better... :cool:

Most traders have a hard time understanding this simple idea, they prefer to chase tops and bottoms, which is extremely hard to do consistently.
 
Quote from xelite777:

Buying high and selling higher (or selling low and buying back lower) is even better... :cool:

Most traders have a hard time understanding this simple idea, they prefer to chase tops and bottoms, which is extremely hard to do consistently.
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true... but even in your quote.. your a still buying lower then your selling, and selling higher then your buying.. my point remains haha
 
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