How long will it take to turn a $5,000 account into $100,000?

Quote from mtzianos:

Contest accounts are not traded in a way that a rational investor would trade a real money account (either his own or OPM).

I didn't know that was a contest account? Are you familiar with that person or claim? I am not.
 
Quote from truetrend:

Now its more about risk management....limiting loses, riding the "truetrend." If you trade 10 ES, pull 4 pts a day, which is doable, you make $2000 a day. 500 days or 2.5 years without increasing size. If you wanted to max out and use one of the brokers who only ask for $500 performance bond/ES on $5000.

I would think that avg of 4pt per contract per day (net) is not possible in ES (considering the extreme disadvantage in execution due to tick size). Especially the last 1.5yr with avg daily range of under 10pt.

I'd be happy to hear otherwise ofcourse.
 
Quote from guy2:

I didn't know that was a contest account? Are you familiar with that person or claim? I am not.

Sure, Ryan Jones is a also vendor. He has a signal service for S&P, a trading system, an audio course etc
 
Quote from mtzianos:

Sure, Ryan Jones is a also vendor. He has a signal service for S&P, a trading system, an audio course etc

Thanks.

Have you ever tried any of his stuff? Is it any good? Do you know what method or system he used for this competition?
 
I turned 10k into around 400k (I know I said 360k in an earlier post but I forgot about the second account- I'm still paying the taxes on it!)
This was the last three months of 2000 and I shorted 2 ND at a time three or four times per day. Maybe more. No indicators, no volume, just a price chart and a phone.
Just luck and a runaway market, that's all. I haven't been able to replicate it since and the more I know the worse I trade, it seems.
I guess my answer would be to find a market that is moving fast and ride it. Go with the flow and don't worry so much about the money. I can remember days coming home and not knowing if I made 5k or 25k that day.
Albert
 
Quote from mortysill:

I have an answer using a Forex example and compounding. For this to work, the initial trade must generate a profit approximately equal to the initial margin plus stop size.

For the Euro, this would be 1,000 plus 300 = 1,300 initial margin. Therefore the first trade would be three standard lots (5,000/1,300). Taking 20 points per trade (which is very achievable) and two trades a day, the first day generates 1,200.

5,000 plus 1200 = 6,200. Which allows 4 standard lots the following trading day. Keep doing this and you get the following table:

Day Start Lot size Finish
1 5000 3 1200
2 6200 4 1600
3 7800 6 2400
4 10200 7 2800
5 13000 10 4000
6 17000 13 5200
7 22200 17 6800
8 29000 22 8800
9 37800 29 11600
10 49400 38 15200
11 64600 49 19600
12 84200 64 25600
13 109800 84 33600
14 143400 110 44000
15 187400 144 57600
16 245000 188 75200
17 320200 246 98400
18 418600 322 128800
19 547400 421 168400
20 715800 550 220000
21 935800 719 287600
22 1223400 941 376400
23 1599800 1230 492000
24 2091800 1609 643600
25 2735400 2104 841600
26 3577000 2751 1100400

Sorry about the alignment, I think it's still readable.

Forget 100,000! You could get to the big 1M in 26 trading days. What's your appetite for trading in 275 million dollars! Remember no losses in 26 straight trading days.

Best wishes
Morty

I wouldn't limit yourself to no losses in 26 straight trading days. My experience in scalping markets has taught me it is usually better to keep trading small 'comeback' trades rather than let a losing day sit on the books and poison the rest of your week. This is jmo, maybe others think it better to reflect, regroup, etc. I think that has a strategic importance to implementing your plan but I don't know if it is wise just to stop and quit for the day if you've been scratched one or two times.
 
I've been trading, equities and futures for 9 years now and have had a fair amount of experience on and off the floor. I've seen people make huge money in a short amount of time, but in my experience it's a vanishing minority of people who are able to achieve this. In my experience most novices starting out with a 5k account blow out more often than not. Not trying to dampen enthusiasm, but I think it's best to enter the field with your eyes open.

Dan
http://www.TradersLog.com/
 
Quote from krazybar:

I've been trading, equities and futures for 9 years now...In my experience most novices starting out with a 5k account blow out more often than not. Not trying to dampen enthusiasm, but I think it's best to enter the field with your eyes open.

Dan

Dan,

I agree with you and from what I've read, the often quoted figure of 90 to 95% of those accounts being blown-out I would bet is an accurate figure. The smaller the starting account size the more likely it is to blow out. This is compounded by the fact that (I am guessing here) there are probably more inexperienced traders running that small account.

From your experience, what would you say was the single most important factor that led to those failures? There are obviously many factors that can contribute to this high percentage of failures but if you had to pick one and say this one appeared more often than any of the others as the reason, which one would it be?

Personally, I would guess the most important reason for $5k account blow-outs to be:
Lettting losing trades run to their stops and not letting the winners run to their targets.
In the ES for example with 2.5 point targets and 2 point stops you will probably find that the losing trades lose 2 points per trade but the average winning trade is rarely 2.5 points because the trader is too quick to take their profits.
 
Quote from Albert:

I
Just luck and a runaway market, that's all. I haven't been able to replicate it since and the more I know the worse I trade, it seems.

Albert

Thats right. Ignorance is bliss.

The less you know the better off you are in a one way market.

But once you learn better, theres no going back. So best thing would be to find a newbie and give them your money to trade
 
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