How good of a trader do you need to be to make a living?

Quote from lemarche:

So what does it mean? That he was still trading futures when he was 100M heavy? Of course !! he is not going to start learning about value investing after having been a successful trader...

I am just saying he will take more of an investor approach in his RISK MANAGEMENT... Instead of risking 1% per trade, he may start risking 0.1%.. WHICH with 100M is still a whopping 100k for a single guy with little headcount expenses.... Instead of aiming at +100%+ per year, aiming at 10/20% per year... which is what a GREAT investor can hope to make in a year.

Yeah. Maybe. Maybe nt. Maybe he has 50 million in real estate, bonds.

But he still is a trader.

There is no value approach to trading. Trading, per definition, is dealing with price fluctuations outside the fundamental changes.
 
Quote from cmb:

Totally agree with the previous post. If u have 25k, u can easily use leverage to trade 250k or more on each trade.

Bottom line is that u have to be a good trader, manage your losses, and make sure u squeeze as much out of your wins as possible.

That's a great strategy until it isn't. If you're taking $250k positions with $25k equity, you had better be prepared to lose it all. It's all very well to talk about "managing your losses", but with that kind of leverage on a single position.....wrong move....margin call....poof, there goes your equity.

Successful trading requires many things, but without real risk management, it's just a matter of time before it's all over.

The Dunning–Kruger effect is alive and well on ET.
 
Quote from trader198:

the only thing here is: cash flow and its efficency.

to me,$25k is lot of money. why

if you trade 10 times a day, each trade is $2.5k value, your transaction value is $25k already. or in businness wording, your sale is $25k. that is huge. most bussiness can not generate so much sale. like a retail store,maybe just couple of hundreds to thousands a day.

if you trade a week, that is $250k sale. a real estate agent can not do that, can he/she sell a house every week? no!

if you trade a month in this rate, that is $1m sale. man, you are doing multi-million dollar business. if you trade 1yr, that is $10M+ sale!

in this scinrio, you are running a corpartion almost 300~400 employess.

most time, each trade will not just take $2.5k. I do it 1/3 account value. you can easily see.it corresponds to running a corporate which has 3000~4000 employess, sale at $500m.

we small retail trader,need another leverage: frequent trading(that is our fate). though we do not have much capital, but we can enlarge it by frequent trading.

another way is trade option, directly multiply the account into $25k. you may can trade 1000shares of AAPLwith just $2.5k premimum.

frequent trading is very hard work.no one can hit right each time. plus fatigue. emotional barriers.

but to my experience, I can trade 100trades with no problem. just fast in and fast out.

I envoy Warren Buffet. since it is not neccessary for him to do that. he does not need do frequent trading: plumbing dirty job to fullfil his happylife.

when I build up so much wealth, I will do investment like him too. beyond trading, thre is lots of fun in life.actually I shift partof profit into long-term investment. that is safer and almost guranteer to win.

most people are too close-minded. when they fall into a well, they see a rope, they donot see it as anopportunity, but use it for suicide!

I heard Jesus Christ, he preached and led his followers to place there is no food.

his followers said "master, we just have one bread, how can we serve those thounsands to get fed". our master did not see just one bread, ...

donot forget Jesus's story. most people thought it is fraud or miracle. that is not miracle. I belive it totally.

I know even $2.5k is big money and can build a fortune on that.


10% RISK per trade is pretty H E A V Y stuff !!! You d better be VERY good at trading before trying to take systematically that kind of risk.... Or you ll blow up your SUPER fast...
 
Oh ok, sorry misread, you are talking about notional, not risk 2.5k...

By the way-- got lost on HOW ON EARTH "25k A DAY" translates to "250k A WEEK" ?????!!!!!..... (LOL my trading weeks are long ENOUGH with 5 days, trust me ...!)

Otherwise... I found the idea of comparing turnover interesting.


BUT-- how much can you make on that 2500$ "10 times a day" (without leverage)?
1->most traders are fighting for ticks..
2-> and you need to find 10 trades a day, not just to make 10 trades to play..

1->For example on 1 contract of CAC40 about 40000€ notional am pretty happy when I have done 10 points, ie 100€...

With your 2500$ that rate of return per trade per "clip" would translate into 62$, 312$ a week (assuming 2-> you can find those 10 trades a day every day...), ie 1250$ a month..... With your "multimillion business" :)

Of course I expect the replies telling me that they make much more on a single trade per contract...
Some well may do it.. but most wont..
 
Quote from jack hershey:

Does it take 10,000 hours to learn the systemic operation of the market?

1. Some spend all their tuition in a short time and quit. Most ET members quit.

2. Some get smart and get mentored by a successful trader. From the beginning they trade in parallel with their mentor.

[/B]

Jack,

You asked the question but didn't answer it. How many hours does it take to learn the (correct) market mechanics?

Can you point me to a successful trader that is willing to mentor?

--
innersky
 
Quote from lemarche:

Oh ok, sorry misread, you are talking about notional, not risk 2.5k...

By the way-- got lost on HOW ON EARTH "25k A DAY" translates to "250k A WEEK" ?????!!!!!..... (LOL my trading weeks are long ENOUGH with 5 days, trust me ...!)

Otherwise... I found the idea of comparing turnover interesting.


BUT-- how much can you make on that 2500$ "10 times a day" (without leverage)?
1->most traders are fighting for ticks..
2-> and you need to find 10 trades a day, not just to make 10 trades to play..

1->For example on 1 contract of CAC40 about 40000€ notional am pretty happy when I have done 10 points, ie 100€...

With your 2500$ that rate of return per trade per "clip" would translate into 62$, 312$ a week (assuming 2-> you can find those 10 trades a day every day...), ie 1250$ a month..... With your "multimillion business" :)

Of course I expect the replies telling me that they make much more on a single trade per contract...
Some well may do it.. but most wont..

What do you consider an acceptable tick average per trade?
 
I don t think there is smth like an "acceptable" profit per lot.. it very much depends on your style :

- if you want to have a VERY high win rate ratio, you will be VERY happy with a few ticks.. (and no other choice..)

- if you are aiming for the fences (ie swing trading typically), you have to be confortable with dealing with a relatively LOW win rate, but you will have MUCH higher ticks per winning trade...

- in the middle, you have ID trades..
 
Quote from NetTecture:


Met a guy once that was more than 100 million heavy

jesuz fucking christ !!

are completely positive he was 100 ml heavy and not like 75 or 89 ??
he must have showed you his bank account readouts , lucky you!
how did the encounter go ?? let me guess - he was walking the dog that pissed on your leg and it struck up the conversation:)
 
Quote from vinc:

jesuz fucking christ !!

are completely positive he was 100 ml heavy and not like 75 or 89 ??
he must have showed you his bank account readouts , lucky you!
how did the encounter go ?? let me guess - he was walking the dog that pissed on your leg and it struck up the conversation:)

One afternoon I was standin at the general aviation door to the tarmac and Smith of GM neared. He asked how I ID.ed my plane.

I replied that I looked first at the vertical stibilzer coloration. He acknowledged my comment so I said his was red/blue sliced as the vergule.

He said he was interested since he wanted to let his pilots know he could tell they had arrived.

So you get upset if you don't know the details and variance on a 1 digit significant figure and you want to give it two significant figured.

How many compartments do you think there are in an aviation fuel delivery truck?

If someone wanted to go out on the tarmac a little ways instead of being met inside the door, let it happen.

I know you have 100 heavy so why the worry?
 
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