Quote from candletrader:
Survey Consensus Fact:
95% (or thereabouts) of people who try this game will breakeven AT BEST...
And a huge proportion of these people have been highly successful in other areas of their life, and have a good dose of intelligence...
Why can't more people make it? It has to do with chinks, chinks which could occur anywhere... chinks that may not at all be obvious...
Space Shuttle Columbia was in 99.9% great working condition, and yet it still blew up...
It is my contention that traders can have all aspects of their trading (set-ups, entries, exits, discipline, psychology, technology, costs) in great working order, but they can still blow up (or slow bleed or breakeven), because of but one chink in their armor... a chink that they have not removed cos they think it is insignificant or a chink that they have as yet not identified...
This game takes no prisoners, and will inevitably catch up with punish the persistence of even a minor chink in any corner of one's armory... this game has many people with (for practical purposes) chinkless armory who will continue to profit from those whose armory looks perfect but is deficient in but one minor respect... the former group are the 5%, the latter group are the breakeven traders, and the remaining majority are the consistent losers...
My view on this is that all too often the answer lies within... what I mean by this is that the breakeven or losing trader wrongly identifies a chink as a strength... this increases the odds that the chink will never be found, because the trader will not be likely to venture into the area of his perceived strengths looking for chinks...