No one knows all the reasons why the 200 firms that dominate oil trading buy or sell at any moment. There are too many variables, and most are unknowable, and no one knows the relative importance of each. All that matters is the price. Price is truth. It shows the final vote tally of bull and bear dollars. If there is a bull breakout, more dollars want to buy, and I will see this and buy as well. If there is a bear breakout, more dollars want to sell, and I will sell. That is all that matters. I want to make money. This is how to do it."
http://www.futuresmag.com/2017/04/2...s-beyond-june-and-what-will-mean-price?page=3
" Rankings: The 2017 Platts Top 250 Global Energy Company Rankings® are available "
https://top250.platts.com/Top250Rankings
Not only the dynamics of supply and demand, but also commercial trading+hedging and speculating activities, would affect market price.
There are already several serious papers from various governments, firms and academics about what major factors drive oil price that are available on the internet.
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