Don't be so obtuse.the reason traders lose money is because of the bull shift that is churned out by logic such as what you have expounded in your post saying that markets are not rational. that you need some vague notions or system to be tested. of course time HAS TO BE SPENT to achieve anything great. there is a logic in markets and any method or system has to be cognisant of that or it will fail.
if you are not convinced that logic is there and has TO BE FOUND THEN YOU WILL LOSE A LOT OF TIME BARKING UP THE WRONG TREE
the contention that just because i do not know WTF is going on, the market is random is ridiculous.
FIND THE LOGIC OF THE MARKETS AND YOU NEVER LOSE IN YOUR LIFE
THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH LOGIC OR WHETHER THE MARKET IS IRRATIONAL OR OTHERWISE.
What the piker is saying is that he himself belongs to the lucky 1%, whereas you and me are clearly in the other 99%. The idiot should be dragged out and flogged.
