How do we know whether "they" are panic and when?

Who's they? Folks long live cattle were (are?) in a semi-panic, how do we know? Simple, those on the right side have been long for a while now and are trying to unwind into falling market which no one could have predicted
 
Quote from ig0r:

Who's they? Folks long live cattle were (are?) in a semi-panic, how do we know? Simple, those on the right side have been long for a while now and are trying to unwind into falling market which no one could have predicted

As a recovering Live Cattle futures trader I must say that you are correct in saying that "no one could have predicted".

This is the chart before the rumor:

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=26166&perpage=6&pagenumber=3

It will be interesting to see how much this changes things on Monday 29th Dec 2003?

If the Cattle futures "crash" then I will "BUY" once the market hits greater than +2 sigma, preferably +3 or 4.
 
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