/ES made all time high of 3158 on December 2 (Monday).
Well today is Friday and since then we've seen a 89 point drop and a 82 point correction to end the week almost unchanged.
Vol was bigger than usual yet the market didn't move much net net.
How does one trade such a move? How did you?
If I was more skilled at trading I would have made a fortune from the wild swings. Since I suck I just ended week with a bit more than when entering.
If I was able to swing this shit, I would have crushed it. Alas, the trade war has taught me that my swing style is no good. The next 10-20% drop I could suffer though may never get resolved. And it can turn into a 30-40% drop. ONE MAN.
Seriously, honestly - in terms of being a successful independent speculator the worst affliction you can have is a macroeconomic opinion. Anytime you gamble your Id, your ego, your cognitive persona against the market you are setting yourself up for abuse.
I KNOW where the market wants to go, but May and August proved to me that I can no longer take a chance on my beliefs, because ONE MAN can change all of that. And well, TWO men, because next Wednesday we get the Fed rate decision, and Powell's mouth. After that, the 15th tariff decision. I can no longer swing though 10% drops, because one of them is going to keep on going down, down, down, with all the uncertainty in the air. If that uncertainty becomes a reality and Trump flips his lid, I would not survive the aftermath.