Hi ironchef
Its been a while, but the bottom line was, over 10 years, I just couldn’t ever figure out how to make money consistently trading stocks. I was daytrading with ira money and in those days could only trade long and was only able to make money when the market was strong up. During down times, my longs would lose money. The moves seemed to be random each day. It was difficult to decide which stocks were moving, when was the best time to trade, and at what level to trade them. Stocks were priced in quarters, the pit traders kept the spread 0.25-0.75 and I was trading stocks with share values $100-300 with more than 1000 shares on the bid/ask. I used 1000 share market orders and very often, I would get 100-200 shares at the price I expected and then others would pull their orders and the remaining shares would be at worse prices. That ate into daytrading profits a lot. In addition, during those days we were charged $10-20 per trade and fees. so you had to overcome the trade cost/fees, wider spreads and further slippage to make money daytrading. Just a side note… during some of those 10 years I put half of my retirement with a money manager and he charged $300 to buy/sell 100-300 shares in my retirement portfolio. Crazy huh? After 3 years, I dumped him and invested in indexes.
Things were different for futures. The biggest thing that I noticed was that the trends were shorter than stocks, but on the flip side, prices seemed to move more consistently each day rather than randomly for stocks. I could rely on events like news, opens, closes, etc moving prices and at certain levels like high/low of yesterday, etc. these events/times and levels occur each day and i developed my trading plan around them. It took about 3 years to develop a good trading plan for futures and I continue to refine it for more consistency.
Hope that helps
toucan