How about this Level 1 trading strategy?

M

mizhael

Suppose I could try to get an estimate about the following probabilities:

given the current stock price, what's the probability that the next transaction raises the stock price, or decreases the stock price.

The above is intra-day at about time precision of seconds...

Then I will buy when the stock price is expected to be up, and sell when the stock price is expected to be down.

Any comments about this trading strategy?
 
lol - just to be clear, your "strategy" is to buy when you think the stock is more likely to go up and sell when you think it is more likely to go down?

hmm - with innovation like that, you'll be rich in no time!
 
Quote from mizhael:

Suppose I could try to get an estimate about the following probabilities:

given the current stock price, what's the probability that the next transaction raises the stock price, or decreases the stock price.

The above is intra-day at about time precision of seconds...

Then I will buy when the stock price is expected to be up, and sell when the stock price is expected to be down.

Any comments about this trading strategy?
More...

brilliant...
 
This reminds me of Tom Green from a scene of his movie, "Freddy Got Fingered". I don't want to explain the scene, hopefully you already know what I'm talking about because it's really funny.


Quote from mizhael:

Suppose I could try to get an estimate about the following probabilities:

given the current stock price, what's the probability that the next transaction raises the stock price, or decreases the stock price.

The above is intra-day at about time precision of seconds...

Then I will buy when the stock price is expected to be up, and sell when the stock price is expected to be down.

Any comments about this trading strategy?
More...
 
Quote from mizhael:

...Then I will buy when the stock price is expected to be up, and sell when the stock price is expected to be down....
More...

Level 1? You are too modest! The fact that you've stated this strategy so clearly and concisely in no way detracts from its inherent brilliance. You sir are a genius, and of the first order.
 
Quote from mizhael:

Suppose I could try to get an estimate about the following probabilities:

given the current stock price, what's the probability that the next transaction raises the stock price, or decreases the stock price.

The above is intra-day at about time precision of seconds...

Then I will buy when the stock price is expected to be up, and sell when the stock price is expected to be down.

Any comments about this trading strategy?
More...

No, it is excellent!
 
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