Quote from kiwi_trader:
John,
I've enjoyed your writings but you may be off on this one. If you look into the statistics of life expectancy and the effects of public health engineering and medicine over the past two centuries you tend to draw a different conclusion. Its like the difference between indicators and prices.
Average life expectancies rose a lot (indicators) but much of it came from a reduction in early deaths. So far recent modern medical science has done a lot to improve quality of life in later years but not so much to really increase the extremes of lifespan. Not saying that it won't but to forecast it based on current achievements might be stretching things a bit.
Thank you for saying you enjoy my posts.
The reason we have not made much progress to date is because we don't understand on the genetic level how disease works. This is because we have not had the tools to study the body like we will have in the near future, next 10 years etc.
Once we figure out the human genome and understand the genes we will know how to stop those diseases because we will understand how they work.
Once we figure it out then disease, aging etc will be a thing of the past.
If may be 50 years off but sooner or later we will get there.
John