Honest binary option trading advice

There are a number of other situations that seem to have the potential for leading to profitable outcomes, but given that they are not all fully fleshed out, they might have to be refined as I explore which, if any, actually turn out to hold true...
  • So then, something else to check out is whether it makes sense to enter positions on either side of the 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14% deviation when is basically flat AND in the middle of a similarly neutral 14-day envelope. Even if so, positions should not be entered until you are certain that the 60-minute baseline has formed a crest or nadir.
  • For the next scenario, suppose you have the 14-hour price flow channels sloping more than mildly, but only moderately so. Under these circumstances, you should look for the contrary band of the hourly price range envelope to cross over the contrary inner band of the 3½-hour price flow channel and form a peak or valley. Enter a position when the 60-minute baseline make a U-turn back toward the center of the 3½-hour price flow channel.
  • Yet another scenario is when the slope of both longer-term trends surpass their respective threshold levels. In this case, it's likely that the most radical pullbacks you are going to see will only be to the center of the 3½-hour price flow channel. Accordingly, this is when and where you should purchase the appropriate out-of-the-money call or put contract.
  • If the upper inner band of the 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14% deviation is in contact with or beyond the upper moderate band of the 14-hour price flow channel at 0.30% deviation, AND both are sloping upward, enter positions when price pulls back to the center of the 3½-hour measure, probably at the 0.12% deviation level of the contrary band of the60-minute price range envelope.
  • Conversely, if the lower inner band of the 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14% deviation is in contact with or beyond the lower moderate band of the 14-hour price flow channel at 0.30% deviation, AND both are sloping downward, enter positions when price pulls back to the center of the 3½-hour measure, probably at the 0.12% deviation level of the contrary band of the60-minute price range envelope.
  • And finally, if the lower band of the 60-minute price range envelope is above the upper inner band of an upward sloping 3½-hour price flow channel, or the upper band of the 60-minute price range envelope is underneath the lower inner band of a downward sloping 3½-hour price flow channel, you are looking at "monster" momentum and can therefore enter a position in the corresponding direction at any time!
(You might also be able to enter a position at any time if the slope of the 3½-hour price flow is beyond the threshold level IF this is NOT due to a sudden spike. If it IS on account of a sudden spike, then wait for the first pullback and then enter IF price resumes the same trajectory AND the slope of the 3½-hour price flow remains above the threshold level. Note however that it's possible that this will only hold true if the slope of the 3½-hour measure is in sync with that of the 14-hour price range envelopes.)
 
You can probably simply a lot of the above by narrowing your focus to these five things...
  1. So, the first thing you're looking for is to buy or sell when the 60-minute baseline crosses over from the exterior of the 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14% back into the interior of the channel, and give it about eight hours until expiry to play out fully.
  2. The second thing is for the hourly price range envelope to form a crest above a downward sloping inner 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14%, or to form a nadir beneath an upward sloping inner 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14%. (But, wait for price to rise or drop beyond the middle of the channel, the 3½-hour baseline on lower-time-frame charts, at the same time before taking action.)
  3. The third is for one or more bands of the 3½-hour envelope(s) to form a crest above or a nadir below the 18-hour price flow channel (rather than 14-hour) at 0.30% deviation—PROVIDED THAT the envelope is sloping in the opposite direction.
  4. The fourth thing to look for is one or more bands of the 3½-hour envelope(s) forming a crest above or a nadir below the eighteen-hour price flow channel at 0.70% or 1.00%, regardless of the direction in which the slower envelope is sloping.
  5. And finally, watch for the hourly channel to clear the 3½-hour channel
For quicker payouts, note the typical and extreme levels where rates tend to turn around on the chart below, and how it's probably a sign that they've just initiated a run if the don't turn around—as confirmed by the lower-panel histogram. (If you think a pair is executing a run and it turns out not to be true, in most cases, you can probably recoup any loss by immediately buying an out-of-the-money contract in the opposite direction.) Not to mention how trips to the contrarian side of a sloping baseline is more often than not destined to become subject to mean reversion/regression toward the mean (see the pink and yellow-green circles).

yet another angle.png
 
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In drilling down to more of a granular level, I'm going to want to analyze the relationships between the 25-, 50- and 120-minute measures.
 
expiated said:
If the upper inner band of the 3½-hour price flow channel at 0.14% deviation is in contact with or beyond the upper moderate band of the 14-hour price flow channel at 0.30% deviation, AND both are sloping upward, enter positions when price pulls back to the center of the 3½-hour measure, probably at the 0.12% deviation level of the contrary band of the60-minute price range envelope.
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Ideas have come too fast and furious to absorb and retain at the forefront of memory in any sort of conscious manner; so I am looking for ways to simplify them, or perhaps instead I will need to save specific templates for each idea and review each set of configurations hourly in turn.

At any rate, from the above instructions emerged the setup below, which I am calling my: "Stay in Your Lane" configuration. The idea is that if the green envelope maintains a positional relationship between the the upper black and blue bands or the lower black and red bands, you remain in the corresponding position (see the yellow-green and pink shaded regions).

Note however that if price veers beyond the "lane" (see the white circles), such acceleration is unsustainable and therefore, one should not anticipate that the surge or plunge will continue at the same rate...

stay_in_your_lane_configuration.png
 
The above image also suggests a "Merge and Converge with the Surge" tactic where, if you divide price action into a top, middle and bottom region, with the intention of going long whenever the hourly trend turns north during those periods when the bottom region is void of candlesticks AND sloping upward; and selling the asset whenever the hourly trend turns south during those periods when the top region is void of candlesticks AND sloping downward (see the gray shaded areas below), then you are like to enjoy successful outcomes...

merge_with_the_surge.png


However, to execute this strategy, I will need to translated this forecast model to lower-time-frame charts so that I can track the progress of the hourly price flow in a more efficient manner.
 
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expiated said:
The above image also suggests a "Merge with the Surge" tactic where, if you divide price action into a top, middle and bottom region, with the intention of going long whenever the hourly trend turns north during those periods when the bottom region is void of candlesticks; and selling the asset whenever the hourly trend turns south during those periods when the top region is void of candlesticks (see the gray shaded areas below), then you are like to enjoy successful outcomes...

View attachment 333676

However, to execute this strategy, I will need to translated this forecast model to lower-time-frame charts so that I can track the progress of the hourly price flow in a more efficient manner.
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Read the times of Israel coverage of binary options.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/search/?q=Binary+options&submit=search
 
Nix this first one. It looks unreliable/inconsistent to me...

Screenshot_4.png


The same is true for the third idea on my list.
 
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expiated said:
Ideas have come too fast and furious to absorb and retain at the forefront of memory in any sort of conscious manner; so I am looking for ways to simplify them, or perhaps instead I will need to save specific templates for each idea and review each set of configurations hourly in turn.
More...
It's looking like part of the solution to this problems is for me to give each of the setups a descriptive and catchy name that's easy for me to remember. So then, at this point I have the Peekaboo-Tag tactic, the Maintain in Your Lane strategy and Merge and Converge with the Surge.
 
expiated said:
It's looking like part of the solution to this problems is for me to give each of the setups a descriptive and catchy name that's easy for me to remember.
More...
A number of ideas were somewhat redundant. Hence, I ended up with the following:
  1. Peekaboo-Tag
  2. Maintain in Your Lane
  3. Merge and Converge with the Surge
  4. No Slope Is a Joke
  5. 3½-Hour Beyond 14-Hour
 
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