The home builder stocks have become nearly untradeable for day trading purposes. The daily ranges on these stocks have been piss poor for 5 weeks now. Often i've been seeing daily ranges of as little as 75 cents. Even through this weeks earnings, there were few good trading opportunities.
Last year the daily ranges in these stocks was $1.5+.
Whats puzzling is that the home builders are one of the top sectors in the mkt. With most of the stocks up 20-30% on the year. You would think that such a strong sector would have more interest. But instead volume has dropped off considerably as has the volatility.
One hypothesis i have is that all the "shorts" who used to push this sector around, creating the volatility, have had their head handed to them. They thus no longer trade the stocks accept to cover their shorts periodically.
Another hypothesis (conspiracy theory) is that some large mutual fund family, or families, has got this sector rigged. And are marching them higher as they please. A number of the companies have increased share buybacks, so maybe that has helped stabilize the stocks on a daily basis. If people know the stocks aren't going to break, then know one going to press their shorts ect.
I guess all sectors have lulls in volatility/activitiy. The whole market went through this during the pre-war and war period. But now trading has improved 100% in the past 5 trading days. For somereason it hasn't kicked in yet for the homebuilders. I hope it comes back as they used to be my meal ticket.
I'm going to make an effort to not trade the sector until i see some action heat up again. Because it has become a distraction to me and not worth my time.
Last year the daily ranges in these stocks was $1.5+.
Whats puzzling is that the home builders are one of the top sectors in the mkt. With most of the stocks up 20-30% on the year. You would think that such a strong sector would have more interest. But instead volume has dropped off considerably as has the volatility.
One hypothesis i have is that all the "shorts" who used to push this sector around, creating the volatility, have had their head handed to them. They thus no longer trade the stocks accept to cover their shorts periodically.
Another hypothesis (conspiracy theory) is that some large mutual fund family, or families, has got this sector rigged. And are marching them higher as they please. A number of the companies have increased share buybacks, so maybe that has helped stabilize the stocks on a daily basis. If people know the stocks aren't going to break, then know one going to press their shorts ect.
I guess all sectors have lulls in volatility/activitiy. The whole market went through this during the pre-war and war period. But now trading has improved 100% in the past 5 trading days. For somereason it hasn't kicked in yet for the homebuilders. I hope it comes back as they used to be my meal ticket.
I'm going to make an effort to not trade the sector until i see some action heat up again. Because it has become a distraction to me and not worth my time.
If the builders are moving and I'm looking to hit a few of them, GS wouldn't even enter into the picture. Now show me some action in leh and mwd and that's a different story.