Herschel Walker is too stupid to be a U.S. Senator

[Mercor]

some good red polls

 

[Tony Stark]

some good red polls

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Same 2 pollsters that had Loeffler beating Warnock(Clue,Emerson leans right. Trafalgar is fucking awful.)

 

[Tony Stark]

some good red polls

View attachment 295267

Oz and Mastrino must be down real bad for the horrendously bad Trafalgar to have Fetterman ahead

 

[Mercor]

Same 2 pollsters that had Loeffler beating Warnock(Clue,Emerson leans right. Trafalgar is fucking awful.)


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Are you accounting for the stolen votes

 

[Tony Stark]

Are you accounting for the stolen votes

I will when there's proof of that

 

[Ayn Rand]

The big plus for Walker is he gives Georgia access. Would other Senators rather take a meeting with Warnock or Walker. Not even close.

 

[Tony Stark]

The big plus for Walker is he gives Georgia access. Would other Senators rather take a meeting with Warnock or Walker. Not even close.

Not too sure about that.Cant imagine anyone wanting to talk to this guy

 

[gwb-trading]

He was completely wrong. Even the article you cited says "Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning"

He said 85% chance and in reality the election wasnt even close and Silver completely wrong.

Where is the part that I am supposed to be impressed?

Go read the article again. What was the probability that Nate Silver gave to Hilary winning in the week before the election?

Rather than choosing the months earlier 85% figure. Yeah, we know you are trying to be deliberately disingenuous. And the reality is that Nate Silver was spot on with his 2016 information but you don’t want to concede to the obvious facts.

 

[wildchild]

Go read the article again. What was the probability that Nate Silver gave to Hilary winning in the week before the election?

Rather than choosing the months earlier 85% figure. Yeah, we know you are trying to be deliberately disingenuous. And the reality is that Nate Silver was spot on with his 2016 information but you don’t want to concede to the obvious facts.

Your assertion is not accurate.

 

[gwb-trading]

Your assertion is not accurate.

Let's take some quotes from the articles to help you understand the difference between facts and your fantasy. Nate Silver was spot on with his information regarding the 2016 election.

"You'd rather be in her shoes than Donald Trump, but it's not an incredibly safe position," Silver said.

The reason Clinton's polling lead is less safe than Obama's was four years ago is that the race is closer in some swing states, especially in the Midwest. That means that if she loses only one big state forecast for her, she loses the White House, Silver said.

"If Clinton were to beat her polls by 3 points ... you see something we call a borderline landslide. But if it goes the other way ... all of a sudden Trump could very easily win the Electoral College," he said.

A 3 point lead is not safe enough, in Silver's model.

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But as of Thursday morning, her odds have fallen down to 66.9 percent — suggesting that while Donald Trump is still the underdog, there’s a one-in-three shot he’ll end up the next president.

Throughout the campaign, whenever the polls have tightened somewhat, FiveThirtyEight’s model has moved more toward Trump than its competitors have.

According to FiveThirtyEight’s estimate, Clinton currently has about a 3.4 percent popular vote lead. But her chances of winning are only 70 percent or higher in contests where 272 electoral votes are at stake. If she wins them all, that’s just barely enough to get her over the top.