Herschel Walker is too stupid to be a U.S. Senator

gwb-trading said:
Show us how 538 has completely blown the past 3 elections.

This is going to be good. I gotta go fetch my popcorn.
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GWB-Trading a uber-biden supporter who is also a baby boomer.

LOL. Seriously.

I seem to remember a landslide for hillary clinton and she was even going to win in texas.

Why Polls Were Mostly Wrong
Princeton’s Sam Wang had to eat his words (and a cricket) in 2016. He talks about the impacts of the pandemic and QAnon on public-opinion tallies in 2020

Pollsters: ‘Impossible’ to say why 2020 polls were wrong

How Pollsters Got the 2016 Election So Wrong, And What They Learned From Their Mistakes

These guys admit they fucked up, but you still think they did a great job.
 
wildchild said:
GWB-Trading a uber-biden supporter who is also a baby boomer.

LOL. Seriously.

I seem to remember a landslide for hillary clinton and she was even going to win in texas.

Why Polls Were Mostly Wrong
Princeton’s Sam Wang had to eat his words (and a cricket) in 2016. He talks about the impacts of the pandemic and QAnon on public-opinion tallies in 2020

Pollsters: ‘Impossible’ to say why 2020 polls were wrong

How Pollsters Got the 2016 Election So Wrong, And What They Learned From Their Mistakes

These guys admit they fucked up, but you still think they did a great job.
More...

You are just pushing headlines without and links to sources. Laughable.
 
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Herschel is not the most inspiring candidate but that is not the deciding factor. All of Georgia will be coming out to vote for Gov. Brian Kemp and in the process vote for Walker by default.
 
wildchild said:
You actually think the pollsters and Nat Silver accurately predicted the 2016 election. Laughable.
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Keep in mind that all Nate Silver does is statistically analyze the polls as a data set while maintaining context of historical accuracy & bias while looking for trends. His work is just a reflection of the collective set of polls.

Nate Silver was also stating that the 2016 Presidential election was going to be must closer than most Democrats thought -- and his model directly before the election showed that Trump had a significant chance of winning.

Nate Silver's model gives Trump an unusually high chance of winning. Could he be right?
https://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
Nov 3, 2016
 
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gwb-trading said:
Keep in mind that all Nate Silver does is statistically analyze the polls as a data set while maintaining context of historical accuracy & bias while looking for trends. His work is just a reflection of the collective set of polls.
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I know exactly what Nate Silver does and I know exactly what the pollsters do. I know both of them were dead wrong.
 
wildchild said:
I know exactly what Nate Silver does and I know exactly what the pollsters do. I know both of them were dead wrong.
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So Nate Silver was incorrect in stating that Trump had a high chance of winning before the 2016 Presidential election? Is this what you are asserting?
 
gwb-trading said:
So Nate Silver was incorrect in stating that Trump had a high chance of winning before the 2016 Presidential election? Is this what you are asserting?
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He was completely wrong. Even the article you cited says "Nate Silver’s polls-only forecast gave Hillary Clinton an overwhelming 85 percent chance of winning"

He said 85% chance and in reality the election wasnt even close and Silver completely wrong.

Where is the part that I am supposed to be impressed?
 
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