What you need to do is sell an spx strangle in 2 month 15 delta. You need to choose in the money stikes, this is very important, if you choose out of the money the price behaves completely differently.
Just to add a little learning I've done today - I didn't realise that what I was talking about had a name: gamma scalping. And that the theta of the position is effectively the money you can expect to make gamma scalping in the case where implied vol equals realised vol.
So, I'm a day older and wiser.
And now, what I'm thinking is this: ATM options have a higher gamma/theta ratio than options that are far ITM or OTM. So if I ratio them correctly, I should be able to have a positive gamma with approximately zero theta.
In this instance, assuming realised equals implied vol, is this an ideal setup for gamma scalping?
I'd like to share with you an idea. What you need to do is sell an spx strangle in 2 month 15 delta. You need to choose in the money stikes, this is very important, if you choose out of the money the price behaves completely differently. Then what you need to do is hedge the delta not using a forward but using nearly a foward: a 25 delta in the money option. If you sell options you can lose money from negative gamma trading on the spot so we use these forwards because they decay enough but also have a lot of delta/notional (75% of a forward in fact) . If you mess it up you can always close out the high strike which will have no vega so will cost less than a normal delta hedge . You either need to automate this or pay a full time strat to watch. If you do this and allow for a maximum drawdown if vix hits 100 of say 5% you will make >100% a year. The capacity is probably 500-1000 billion a year so easily enough for everyone. The reason the return is so high is in part because it's significantly better than what anyone else does. I want you all to try it please