Reminds me of a line in Rogue Trader 1999 movie....Ewan McGregor said something like: 'could have just as easily went the other way....if it went the other way, i would have been a hero.'
Ironically, some of those famous "Market Wizards" were on the favorable side of the coin flip at some time during their formative years...It was a familiar theme; big bets that went their way and set them up with a sizable capital base...