i agree, tim seems more like a day trader that for reason wants/tries to get people to give him money to trade isntead of using his own
Quote from mschey:
Those risk adjusted numbers, and other creative measures of performance, are just crutches for traders and funds to justify underperformance, IMO.
Tim, although I like him, is underperforming, in fact, doing awful. To use some excuse as I only short illiquid small cap stocks, which is a negative beta strategy, and in that context try to put some lipstick on that pig and say that he is actually doing relatively well because he is successfully generating Alpha is just a bunch of nonsense.
In this business, all that matters is making money. You either are profitable, or you are not. You are making money, or you are not. Tim's fund has gone from several million to just over one million. Whether it's from actual losses, or investors tired of under performance allocating their money elsewhere doesn't matter. It is indicative that Tim's fund is not doing well.
Question remains, what to do? First and foremost, get focused on your core business. Time to eliminate the distractions, and focus your time on your business. If i were an investor in your fund, and saw that you were putting your time into reality shows, and writing a book, I would be pissed. Especially since you're performance is awful.
Second, you need to change your approach, put another strategy, or two in play. If what you are doing isn't working, find out what is, and put that strategy into play. Shelve your current strategy, until it starts to perform well, which is likely a flat to down market, and then dust off the cob webs and put it to work when the market conditions are right.
Third, model the big boys, and other successful traders. All top performing traders, and funds, are using advanced technologies to assist them in trading. You need to do the same. I'd suggest that you blend some short term, intraday strategies that generate consistent cashflow, along with your longer term macro strategies. Semi, or full automation is a necessity!
I hope you manage to turn things around, Tim!
Mike
P.S. I'm looking forward to reading your book, why don't you send me an advanced copy?
