I used to think they are much smarter than us and still feeling many clever guys are working on the Wall Street. But just be careful that there are also lots of sh**heads!
Quote from vhehn:
people think a "hedge fund" is some kind of easy way to riches. in truth you are still giving your money to somebody who could be an idiot to trade for you.
Quote from mdl060374:
I guess my popint is that the term hedge fund is quickly losing credibility in my eyes as everyone is jumping on the bandwagon and forming their own...
Good points. And in regards to LTCM, it turned out that given a little more time, a few months, they would have made money on their positions rather than blowing up. This is undoubtedly why Warren Buffet was interested. He knew. They just couldn't handle the massive drawdown. And this is why a lot of hedge funds blow up. They don't correctly account for the range of possibilities of such drawdowns. And this is also true on the level of individual traders with much, much less capital. Many traders don't really examine and understand the true risks involved in the positions they put on. Like Mark Douglas would point out, everyone is so convinced they're right they don't plan for how they'll deal with possibly being wrong. They're so focused on how much money they will make if the trade goes as planned that they forget what can happen if it goes against them. As lescor's signature line says, "An amateur thinks about how much he can make. A professional thinks about how much he can lose."Quote from omcate:
IMHO:
People have short memories. Ego always wins. The collapse of two famous hedge funds: LTCM and D. E. Shaw in late 1998 are much bigger warning signs than this.
Quote from mdl060374:
I have always been under the impression that hedge funds were run by experienced wall street veterans with a long track record fo success for the most part.
With all the layoffs on wallstreet in the last 1 1/2 years, and more to come, I have heard of a bunch of traders lately getting together to "form a hedge fund"... It kind of scares me thast these people think they can pool their $$ and others $$ and make a go of it in this type of market. Most of these people know nothing of risk mgt. and aspects of portfoliko mgt,
I guess my popint is that the term hedge fund is quickly losing credibilty in my eyes as everyone is jumping on the bandwagon and forming their own...