I don't know. It all really depends on your perspective, timeframe of reference, and your personal bias of interpretation, doesn't it?
Isn't that what trading is all about for ah so many? Trying to look for a reason to reinforce their own wishful thinking?
One thing is for sure, before I play the market, I'll watch what the majority thinks, and then try to find a place to bet on the opposite. There is no way a majority can abundantly profit from a minority. The majority always has to be, mathematically, wrong. If the majority thinks bull - OK, I'll think bear. Usually works for me. Would've worked well in early 2000. I know somebody who literally liquidated his life savings, raided his accounts, mortgaged his house etc - you name it, just to go short some of the hottest high-flyers in early 2000. This dude sold SIRI at 60, then 65, kept adding more close to 70, without question. He went short massive amounts, on maximum leverage, kept adding "all the way down" as his equity made it available, and covered SIRI one year later or so at somewhere under $4 each. SIRI eventually went to something like $0.50, and now it's back up to something like $3. He was short the farm on ridiculous amounts of stock (SIRI example the only one I can remember well), and he lives a very different lifestyle now. As Soros likes to say: "It takes courage to be a pig."
Since most people seem to be bull-biased here, I'll throw in a bear chart (M) just for the heck of it...
