Have we hit the top?

P/E doesen't matter. EUR/USD does. If I know where EUR/USD goes I know were SPY goes ergo I know where ~50% of all US stocks go.
This is true but in the very short-term correlation only. I'd say the correlation is more helpful as an indicator of turning points in market risk tolerance - when risk tolerance changes, all markets respond simultaneously. After that point, they all make their own journey, though many major forex pairs continue to respond to EUR/USD.
 
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