prediction:
goldman will move around a little, and if it takes off anywhere, it will be to the upside: ~215 or so.
But more likely: it'll be pegged to 200 at options expiration by likely by GS short volatility options traders themselves.
I sold 190/200/210 Mar iron butterflies for 6.20 (short straddle 200, long 190/210 strangle). Hope to cover at a passover of 200 strike in the next few days.
Also as a secondary position, I bought a few cheap 195 Mar puts for insurance, as well as some long 210 Apr calls. But much smaller. Main position is primary looking for the IV drop and no movement.
I have a feeling they will allay subprime fears in this earnings call, and markets may be up sharply over this conference call.