GS a buy here at 186

Quote from Mvic:

It gets worse as I also have calls on Bidu and AMZN that are underwater. Altogether I am down 127K on those and my GS calls. The reason I'm not sweating it is because I am UP 640K on my EEM puts alone. I was/am looking to protect my EEM position from a significant bounce or a run to new highs.

FWIW when I posted about smelling a rally the YM was trading at 13435-45 and subsequently rallied 50-60 points to 13495 within the next 30 mins before failing. GS rallied $3 in the same time frame. Like I said FWIW which ain't much as I didn't take advantage of the failed rally to close my position but after the last few months being being short and having to enduring the rip roaring rallies I couldn't see all my gain evaporate once again hence keep these hedges on even when market action suggests otherwise.

As far as Monday goes I am not sure we will see follow through immediately, we may get a bounce as the buying on the end of the slide Friday was pretty strong with plenty of 600-900 lot trades on the ES going off on the offer. It may have just been covering but I am feeling better about Monday still holding these high beta calls, I am hoping we get substantial downside follow through but I wouldn't be able to hold the size I am without being hedged.

BSC conference call tanked the market, monday is another day.
 
How anyone trades size in this level of volatility without being hedged is beyond me. Bidu didn't perform but at least EEM didn't rally too much. Back to green on the GS and AMZN hedge and holding until I can figure our what direction we are going or profit targets are hit. Good luck all.
 
Yes GS looks like a buy...providing it is a put.

Goldman's Global Alpha Fund Fell 12% in Two Weeks, 16% in '07

By Jenny Strasburg and Katherine Burton

Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s Global Alpha hedge fund fell almost 12 percent in the two weeks ended Aug. 3, bringing this year's decline to 16 percent after losses in stocks and bonds.

This year's drop in the $9 billion fund, managed by Mark Carhart and Raymond Iwanowski, follows the loss of about 9 percent in 2006, said two investors in the fund. Global Alpha's performance has reduced the fees paid to New York-based Goldman. The biggest U.S. securities firm booked $700 million from the fund in 2006.

The $1.7 trillion hedge-fund industry was roiled by losses in the credit and equities markets during the past two months. Two hedge funds managed by Bear Stearns Cos. collapsed and Sowood Capital Management LP, run by a former manager of Harvard University's endowment, is shutting down after a 60 percent loss.

``The fallout from June and July's credit rout is clearly resulting in some significant losses at a number of hedge funds,'' said Peter Plaut, senior analyst at Sanno Point Capital Management, a New York-based hedge fund firm. ``We are likely to see the losses result in redemptions.''

Goldman spokesman Christopher Williams declined to comment about the fund's performance.

Global Alpha lost 8 percent during the last full week of July, hurt by declines in investment-grade credit and U.S. stocks, said the investors who declined to be identified. The fund fell 9 percent in July, net of fees, they said. The fund had another 3 percent drop during the first three days of August as the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.5 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jenny Strasburg in New York at jstrasburg@bloomberg.net ; Katherine Burton in New York at kburton@bloomberg.net .

Last Updated: August 6, 2007 18:35 EDT
 
Quote from Mvic:

Out GS 190 Calls at 6.10 +1.60.

way to hold under fire, you should get a free scuba diving certificate. The reversal here has been amazing!:)
 
Quote from kinggyppo:

Are you implying that this gap will get filled down there?

I believe in Gap support areas., Specially price reaching from a distant range like in GS.

Gap fill theories are only partially true. A Valid Breakaway gap or a Continuous gap almost never gets filled. Only Exhaustion gaps are filled.

Common gaps (small range gaps) do get filled but tough to trade for most traders.

regards,
suri
 
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