Thanks for the link, Maverick. I know it is well explained in the article, but I anticipate a lot of confusion in this thread. Just to clear it up, Eurodollar (symbol GE on CME) has nothing to do with either EUR.USD cash (Forex), or with CME (symbol 6E) Euro-USD futures.
Read all three of the series and you might change your opinion. The first is only a teaser and doesn't say much of anything. The second and third contain misstatements of fact, unsupported guesses of unobservables, forged/photoshopped chart(s), and bogus aggregate stats. He conflates risk-free rate and marginal return on capital (MEC in Keyneian terms) and fails to consider alternative explanations for his main observable.TOverall, not a bad piece, in spite it being rather simplistic and, occasionally, a little inaccurate.
You're right... Having read the other two pieces, I've concluded that the author has a very limited understanding (if any) of how the money mkts operate. That has led him to all sorts of grand conclusions which have very little to do with reality.Read all three of the series and you might change your opinion. The first is only a teaser and doesn't say much of anything. The second and third contain misstatements of fact, unsupported guesses of unobservables, forged/photoshopped chart(s), and bogus aggregate stats. He conflates risk-free rate and marginal return on capital (MEC in Keyneian terms) and fails to consider alternative explanations for his main observable.
He also contradicts himself between segments two and three, pitches his own services (his "Insider Alerts" and his interviews), and, despite claiming that "how to make money from the analysis" is the "bottom line," makes only one actionable call (USD "sharply" higher).