Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Futures almost green...

BULLSHIT! Green from what time stamp? 2 minutes ago? Sure. Phhhfft

My charts are closed, and I am down 10% on my positions, and I KNOW that my positions are nowhere in any sort of safety zone. You are just pulling the Rickshaw thing.
 
If 2% rally is nothing, then today's 2% drop was nothing as well. The fact that 2% rally will scare away the shorts or liquidators or give them some hesitation at least.
 
If 2% rally is nothing, then today's 2% drop was nothing as well. The fact that 2% rally will scare away the shorts or liquidators or give them some hesitation at least.

Remember Monday of this week? Remember the "rip-your-face-off" rally? It scared the bears not. Bears ate the bulls' skulls for breakfast. Mmmm! Bull brains!
 
This will be short-lived. The market can go up when inflation is rising. No need to worry if you hold the right stuff. All things said, many are I your side but no pain, no gain.

Depends on your idea of short lived..

If you can pick stocks you'll be fine.

It's going to be months at best.

Pain works in both directions. Lot of bears have been hammered since late March forever underestimating market strength. Latest weakness seems like profit taking in IT mainly. It drags a few other things down for brief spurts. Maybe you'll get lucky with a guess but only if you temper your expectations. I suspect I may continue to do well with a commodity based strategy.

Those bears are morons obviously.

Sure it's a "lucky guess" - or it could be thorough study of time cycles among other things.

I've seen your various posts at times on commodity plays. They've been good calls. Well done.

**EDIT: I'm not looking for a horizontal crash like last March. It will be a longer term sideways to down cycle that will last longer and go down further than most expect. Then again - most major longer term moves overshoot in both directions.
 
The general problem with the calling business - and this goes both ways - is timing.

I've seen a lot of boasting on this site from various calls that took great amounts of heat before finally turning around.

Everyone knows the market will crash or sell off again at some point. Everyone knows we'll have a huge rally at some point and that the stock market (and particularly an index) is rigged to the upside.

But without timing and some precision it's really all worthless in terms of actual trading.
 
Look at 1year TZA chart.... recent 1year high volume green/buying volume day earlier this week. To me that was a bearish signal for the market, so I bought it and other inverses.
 
Heard recently that Bond market data has fed hiking rates rates as early as 2022 and a total of 3 times by 2023!!! And we know the fed is way to dovish to allow this too happen
 
BULLSHIT! Green from what time stamp? 2 minutes ago? Sure. Phhhfft

My charts are closed, and I am down 10% on my positions, and I KNOW that my positions are nowhere in any sort of safety zone. You are just pulling the Rickshaw thing.




To me this is bright green considering futures were down nearly 1%%%%%


US 30
30,958.0
DERIVED
06:40:16 | Futures
+80.0 +0.26%

US 500
3,774.88
DERIVED
06:40:16 | Futures
+9.38 +0.25%

US Tech 100
12,475.50
DERIVED
06:40:16 | Futures
+20.50 +0.16%

Small Cap 2000
2,153.15
DERIVED
06:40:15 | Futures
+8.65 +0.40
 
Look at 1year TZA chart.... recent 1year high volume green/buying volume day earlier this week. To me that was a bearish signal for the market, so I bought it and other inverses.



Funny I just sold half my QID and a quarter of my TZA around 40. When I sold some of my TZA of course it skyrocketed.
Could either be 50 or 30 in the next week or 2
 
Cramer says investors are in denial about stocks: 'The sell-off is real'
PUBLISHED THU, MAR 4 2021 7:10 PM EST



Cramer suggested a one-day decline of as much as 7% in stocks could fast-track the market to the acceptance stage of grief, "where there's a collective sense that the market's toast."

In the meantime, he said investors should have cash on the sideline and wait for the right moment to find the market bottom in the multi-week decline.

"We're going to get bounces, bounces that make people feel like their bargaining has succeeded, but it hasn't," Cramer said. "If you lighten up … you're going to be ready for the moment of capitulation, the crescendo, the acceptance that marks the trough."


https://www-cnbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/03/04/cramer-says-investors-are-in-denial-about-stocks-the-sell-off-is-real.html?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a6&usqp=mq331AQFKAGwASA=#amp_tf=From %1$s&aoh=16149454115449&csi=0&referrer=https://www.google.com&ampshare=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/04/cramer-says-investors-are-in-denial-about-stocks-the-sell-off-is-real.html
 
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