Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

They have been very clear when rate hikes are likely coming for 15 months. In the meantime, you keep posting absolute bs that they won't raise rates, that markets will implode if they do ( 40-60% crash of indexes ), and that negative rates are just around the corner with a "guaranteed" US recession.

At what point do you understand your beliefs are just horribly wrong all the time ?

Irrespective of rate speculations, if markets put in a 3rd lower high on long term charts, then your bullishness will be confronted by major selling. Of course eventually that may provide a buying opportunity, but the next major cycle could still be bear market.
 
fed completely controls the market today....and yes they have been signaling more hawkish so yea I would would think while the markets closed friday (even thursday night) and through sunday night some price adjustment may be allowed....but by monday open any "bank holiday" short profits are treading on thin ice...very thin.

seems spot on kommiss.... starting thursday night through sunday night es falls to 1950...then, just when we thought it was safe to short (around wed morning just before the open) the 1950 goes back to 2050 in a straight up fashion

ah well, we can all dream can't we?

The US fed doesn't control equity markets, it's an absolute myth you've made up in your head. Equity prices merely indicate the price to own profit seeking businesses. Basically, large funds of money ( e.g. retirement funds, mutual funds, very rich owners ) move markets. Markets will only drop a lot if people who own funds significantly shift their equity exposure to something else ( e.g. money market, bonds, real estate ). Another factor would be interest rates. But rates would have to go up a lot ( at least 3-4% ) to be a factor in this way. One last factor would be increased unemployment of investors, but I have a feeling that most of this group got out of markets in 2008/2009.

You need to drop the myths and do real research and educate yourself.
 
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Irrespective of rate speculations, if markets put in a 3rd lower high on long term charts, then your bullishness will be confronted by major selling. Of course eventually that may provide a buying opportunity, but the next major cycle could still be bear market.

What "bullishness" ??? Nothing I have posted is either "bullish" or "bearish" on US equities. What I have said is US interest rates are slowly going up, and that the US Fed doesn't control equity markets ( nor do they care to; as long as moves aren't too rapid in either direction ).
 
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The US fed doesn't control equity markets, it's an absolute myth you've made up in your head. Equity prices merely indicate the price to own profit seeking businesses. Basically, large funds of money ( e.g. retirement funds, mutual funds, very rich owners ) move markets. Markets will only drop a lot if people who own funds significantly shift their equity exposure to something else ( e.g. money market, bonds, real estate ). Another factor would be interest rates. But rates would have to go up a lot ( at least 3-4% ) to be a factor in this way. One last factor would be increased unemployment of investors, but I have a feeling that most of this group got out of markets in 2008/2009.

Until you drop the myths and do real research and educate yourself, you'll always be clueless about equity markets.

You've outdone yourself...Even The Onion wouldn't publish this horseshit.
 
What "bullishness" ??? Nothing I have posted is either "bullish" or "bearish" on US equities. What I have said is US interest rates are slowly going up, and that the US Fed doesn't control equity markets ( nor do they care to; as long as moves aren't too rapid in either direction ).

Since you were anti-bearish in your previous posts I assumed you were drinking from a different well, so sorry.
 
The US fed doesn't control equity markets, it's an absolute myth you've made up in your head. Equity prices merely indicate the price to own profit seeking businesses. Basically, large funds of money ( e.g. retirement funds, mutual funds, very rich owners ) move markets. Markets will only drop a lot if people who own funds significantly shift their equity exposure to something else ( e.g. money market, bonds, real estate ). Another factor would be interest rates. But rates would have to go up a lot ( at least 3-4% ) to be a factor in this way. One last factor would be increased unemployment of investors, but I have a feeling that most of this group got out of markets in 2008/2009.

You need to drop the myths and do real research and educate yourself.

nine_ender is just a lonely old troll trying to churn up misinformation and waste people's time. People like him wandering around on ET is a big reason I don't come here much anymore. This forum has gone way down hill when you see people like this allowed to troll and stalk and basically act out their mental health issues publicly.

But mostly he is a mis-information place card and when he posts the timing is pretty suspect. I would say we are in for a drop on the spoo and crude and damage control is in order
 
They have been very clear when rate hikes are likely coming for 15 months. In the meantime, you keep posting absolute bs that they won't raise rates, that markets will implode if they do ( 40-60% crash of indexes ), and that negative rates are just around the corner with a "guaranteed" US recession.

At what point do you understand your beliefs are just horribly wrong all the time ?


How are they clear?
They have changed every single idea of a rate hike moving forward into 2017....did you not listen or read what they said at the last fed meeting...I posted numerous articles that rates moving forward were going to be lower than originally suggested into 2017....instead of 4 rate hikes in 2016 it looks like only 2. Go back and read the articles. It's all there in black and white....I can't believe you listen to the worthless dribble the fed speaks.
 
What "bullishness" ??? Nothing I have posted is either "bullish" or "bearish" on US equities. What I have said is US interest rates are slowly going up, and that the US Fed doesn't control equity markets ( nor do they care to; as long as moves aren't too rapid in either direction ).


Hahahaha hahahahaaaaaaaa

The US fed doesn't control equity markets hahahahahahha

Biggest Fu$king joke of 2016 so far. Hahahaha

I'm laughing so hard....
 
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