2040-2060 seems to major resistance thats why this market for me is getting tough to trade......if it is broken to the upside Im thinking 90% chance market gets to historical highs....a break back down and some big earning misses can send the markets right down to where they were just a few weeks ago when the dow was treading just above 16,000...best bet is to wait it out....with earnings here now will just have to wait it out and see how the markets react to this earnings season.
The recent rally looks like 2007: Technician
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/10/13/the-recent-rally-looks-like-2007-technician.html
Comparing the recent environment to that of October 2011, Krinsky noted one key discrepancy. "The rally coming off the October 2011 bottom was led by the leadership group," said Krinsky, meaning the sectors that were strong heading into the sell-off continued to be rally coming out of it. "Meanwhile, the laggards continued to lag," he added. "So we're seeing a completely different picture coming off the lows [now]."
Instead, Krinsky says the current market looks a lot more like it did just before the financial crisis. "The correction in August 2007—before we made the major top in October 2007—was led very similarly to the current setup, by the laggards," said MKM Partners' chief market technician. "That leadership makeup does concern us a bit."
Adding to Krinsky's market apprehension is the S&P 500's declining 200-day moving average for the first time in four years. "The primary trend in our view is that the slope of the 200-day moving average is now trading down. That gives us a more cautious outlook."
Of course, Krinsky isn't suggesting a major market meltdown, but he is urging investors to tread carefully in the current marketplace. "Be patient with the S&P 500," he added. "We have a lot of overhead resistance in the 2,040-to-2,060 range, and I don't think that's going to be easily surpassed."
At the very least, Krinsky expects the S&P 500 to retest the 1,900 level in the near future before resuming its advance.