Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Market is all about surprises. It looks ready to move up.

It's not really a surprise when this is everyone's collective expectation. I do think it'll bounce but I don't think it'll bounce nearly as high as others think. My expectation is that we hit 2120 and then head back down.
 
Tomorrow:
High:
2085 (± 3) @ 64.3% probability.

Most likely we'll see a rise to the high, and then a slow grind down to close near 2071. I won't be trading it, as it will be volatile.

lol, you pegged it....unfortunately the wrong way round...fell to 2070ish and then finished near 2085
 
When the market wouldnt touch those 85's on the ES the first time it was a dead give away it wasnt strong enough to rally, if it was someone would have popped them for the stopouts on the other side, that said, I could see them gapping the ES through it now to shake out any weak hands in the aftermarket.


Dont ask me why im up at this ungodly hour, but I nailed that one, gap the futures through 2085 at 3 a.m. in the morning to shake out the weak hands. So predictable. I guess we are supposed to believe that someoen with a lot of buying power just got antsy in the middle of the night and decided to start buying futures hand over fist, for no reason, lol.

Guess we will see if the strength is legit in the morning, if 2087 holds as the high, i feel sorry for the poor bastards who just got cheated. If 2087 holds this morning be prepared for weakness today, this ISNT the kind of shit the big players do when they are strong, and looking to legitimately buy.

2085.png
 
Last edited:
Just spotted the reason for the rally, Dollar is cratering.

Dont ask me why im up at this ungodly hour, but I nailed that one, gap the futures through 2085 at 3 a.m. in the morning to shake out the weak hands. So predictable. I guess we are supposed to believe that someoen with a lot of buying power just got antsy in the middle of the night and decided to start buying futures hand over fist, for no reason, lol.

Guess we will see if the strength is legit in the morning, if 2087 holds as the high, i feel sorry for the poor bastards who just got cheated. If 2087 holds this morning be prepared for weakness today, this ISNT the kind of shit the big players do when they are strong, and looking to legitimately buy.

View attachment 153656
 
And that is the issue, where does market move now, rather than later

I'd agree Romik, which is why I believe that it is very important to know when you are likely to be wrong. Yesterday I received similar probabilities for both scenarios, and so: No trade.
 
Back
Top