Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Yet again, the dovish fed comes out saying nice pretty little things and bows yet again to wall street, day in and day out rinse and repeat the same garbage talk about how rate hikes will be shallow and the "TIMING" of the increases "UNCERTAIN", they haven't a clue what they are doing, they have no exit plan, thats why they are keeping rates at 0%, there won't be rate hikes for years and if there is one or 2 here or there rates will still be under 1% for the next 3 years and under 3% over the next decade.......this market and economy needs a real fucking wake up call, every thing is make believe and that make believe can only last so long......


After Friday's surprisingly weak jobs report raised real questions about the strength of the economy, stock futures fell sharply, the dollar sank and Treasury yields fell. That all began reversing Monday morning, helped in part by comments from dovish New York Fed President William Dudley, who said the trajectory of central bank rate hikes would be shallow and the timing of the increases is uncertain.

The dovish Fed kept pressure on the dollar and that was a positive for stocks. It also helped, at least temporarily, to disrupt a recent trend where traders view the disappointing string of first-quarter economic reports as a reason to sell stocks, for fear they are a harbinger of a very weak corporate earnings season.

"I think it was the Dudley comments, and everyone's just hoping rates stay lower for longer. He threw the markets a bone by saying the pace of rate hikes would be shallow and they would take the markets into consideration, so you have a lot of hand-holding and that makes people feel better," said Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading.


Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group, said it appears the dollar was propping up stocks, as well as the expectation of an easy Fed.

Read MoreWeak jobs signals dovish Fed

"I can't fully explain how we're 25 points off the lows from Friday. The S&P is less than 2 percent off all-time highs in light of what's going on. The addiction to the Fed just won't end," he said.




http://www.cnbc.com/id/102563196
 
S2007S said:
The worse the news the higher the markets go, plain and simple, its all because the fed controls the markets, missed job numbers, lower ISM, earnings growth falling and the markets cheer because that means many more years of Zero interest rates and zero interest rates means the bubble can keep growing and growing, a slow down and more QE4 for the elite.....how do you think these last 2-3 decades of gains have occurred, all through asset bubbles, no such thing as true organic economic growth any more its all fed induced and I hope one day people wake up to the reality of this, by that time though it will be too late, global markets will have already fallen over 50% by that point and the next crisis will be 100X larger...bigger than any other crisis we have ever seen before....
More...

Again, you seem totally clueless about economics, and the relationship between fed policy and equity markets. You don't understand cause and effect ( getting it backwards in many cases ), and seem delusional and paranoid most of the time. The "next crisis will be 100X larger" ??? That's one of the dumbest things you could ever say. In fact, there is a very strong chance that the 2008/2009 crisis is the largest economic crisis in your lifetime, and the lowest close on US markets in your lifetime. But you think we'll do "100X" worse, whatever that is supposed to mean.

I dare you to publish here one long term investment idea that will be profitable within 10 years. No bs, just give us the trade based on ALL aspects of reality in the world. If you can't do that, there is no point to your projections for the future. That is real life, people put their money in what they believe in, be it a house, owning a company, a massive group of companies ( i.e. an index ), or in bonds etc etc. If you think there is a massive crash coming, then what SHORT are you taking today to hold for years ? Because shorting now on an index has the drawback of working against you until the bull ends, and an even bigger trouble of identifying when to cover if the "crash" turns out to just be normal long term market corrections.

So if it's the indexes, give us at what level you will cover the short position on your favorite index, and if you will take a loss if the trade goes heavily against you. Nitro posted numerous aggressive shorts when the S&P was anywhere from 1150 to 1300, and then added to his "positions" at higher levels. Anyone taking those trades for real would have lost a fortune by now. He never posted covering a loss the entire time, even published his piggybacked positions as he forecast a higher break even point to cover ( of course, that meant he was accelerating his losses by doing so ). Eventually, the trade became so gross he stopped posting and gave up the charade. He was so invested in being "smarter" then the market, he ignored reality and got lost in the numbers. I see similar traits in you, you are so invested in your theories that you think everything is fake and rigged. This allows you to avoid admitting you just didn't ever understand what was real all along for several years.
 
So easy making free money in this fed engineered market.
 

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CHOO CHOO HOP ON THE FREE MONEY TRAIN....ZERO RISK...ZERO NONE NADDA.....THEY CAN'T AND WON'T LET THIS MARKET FALL.....EVERY TIME IT POPS RIGHT BACK UP
 
Look at this joke, now they are saying with all that free money europe is getting to prop up their economy and markets that it will be very difficult for yellen and the fed to raise rates above 1.5% into the end of 2017...said if they try and do so it would put pressure on the dollar and on the economy....so with all this garbage talk about the fed raising rates, take it and throw it out the window, the fed isnt moving and I wish yellen and friends would come out and stop the bluffing and just tell the general public that rates are NOT going higher until at least 2020 or even the next 10 years, every single day there is another lame prediction when the fed is going to raise rates, is it June, is it september is it June is it september, enough of this 4th fucking grade back and forth pathetic nonsense, we all know the economy is too weak to raise rates even an 1/8% so lets all be real here, the fed needs to keep the rates low to keep the bubble inflated, only way they can keep gdp floating is to keep borrowing rates at historical lows, don't worry about the general public and there 0.01% savings account, as long as wall street and the top 10% are getting their free handouts from the fed everything is just peaches and rainbows.....oh boy I can wait for the next crisis, its going to be fun fun fun.....the longer the fed keeps rates at 0% and the rest of the world keeps the QE machine running with all these free dollars to prop up every asset class around the world the next collapse you should not even question since all the warning signs are right in front of you...you would have to be a fool not to understand what is happening



Fed needs Europe's permission to raise rates: Analyst
Tom DiChristopher
3 Hours Ago



The market is sending signals that the Federal Reserve may not make much headway raising interest rates during the next two years—even if central bankers are intent on doing so, Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. market strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Tuesday.

The Fed will not be able to raise its federal funds rate above 1.5 percent by the end of 2017, Golub said. If it tries to do so, the dollar will start to rise, putting pressure on the economy and causing the central bank to retreat.

"I would love to see the Fed be able to move toward 2 percent, but with free money in Europe, it's very hard for them to get tighter," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box." "Are we asking the permission of the Europeans for our central bank policies? I'm not sure, but the market's saying [we are]."

The Fed faces the challenge of raising rates at a time when European central bankers are suppressing rates by purchasing large amounts of bonds. That monetary policy disparity is expected to send investors flocking to U.S. bonds for higher yields, which would drive up the value of the dollar.

The greenback has already run up too far, too fast, Golub said, and while he believes the United States remains strong compared with other economies, no country can weather a 20 percent move in its currency in eight months without experiencing disruptions.

That said, Golub views the lower-for-longer rate policy as bullish for stocks. With investors looking for returns outside the bond market, he sees U.S. equities, excluding the energy sector, returning 12 to 14 percent in 2015.

"If you look at the average year that you don't have a recession, the market's up 18 percent," he said. "As long as recessionary risk is away, there's no reason you won't get double-digit price returns on the market. People are way too bearish."

Read MoreMillennials flock to once-derided financial product

Mark Grant, managing director at Southwest Securities, said it would be a "huge mistake" for the Fed to raise interest rates, noting that $5 trillion of bonds around the world have negative interest rates and more than 20 central banks have lowered rates in the last six months.

The dollar has been "ravaged" by the European Central Bank's stimulus program, he added.

"For us to raise interest rates in this kind of environment would just be really the wrong, wrong thing," he said.

While the U.S. unemployment rate stands at 5.5 percent and companies are beginning to raise wages, Europe is essentially exporting deflation, Grant said. Lower oil prices are adding to the deflationary pressures, he said.

Read MoreGold is beating stocks this year—Here's why

The impact of the crude rout on energy sector returns and the stronger dollar should converge to create disappointing first-quarter earnings, he said.

With the 10-year Treasury up 2.5 percent, individual investors should look very carefully at big, liquid bond funds that can potentially return 8 to 9 percent and provide security, Grant said.
 
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