Quote from Landis82:
Fools???
With all due respect, the market did in fact "retest" the previous lows of the end of February and "bounced" very strongly, now trading back up to SPX 1395.
The "no correction ends in 2 weeks" proclamation is certainly one that can prevent you from making any serious money, trading. Last time I checked, the SPX has rallied 30 handles up from the most recent low. If you were frozen like a "Deer Caught in Headlights" during this "bounce" because you completely ignored ( or did not understand ) the impact of the upcoming "Triple Witch" I would say that you have no real business being a trader.
This is a trading market, plain and simple.
It continually amazes me that people on these boards fail to realize this, and consistently come out with all sorts of bold claims and predictions, more often than not based on VERY LIMITED MARKET EXPERIENCE or HISTORY, which then "freezes" them from being flexible enough to accurately perceive what is going on, and TRADE off of it.
Duration and Magnitude of moves in the stockmarket have become ever so "compressed" with the likes of basket-trading and electronic markets. To think that "collars" getting triggered on the downside and hedges being unwound ahead of "Triple Witch" had nothing to do with the move in the market this week, is to be just plain naive. It also doesn't even begin to address what this has to do with a cookie-cutter stereotypical opinion about how "no correction lasts 2 weeks."
You can keep telling yourself that "no correction ends in 2 weeks" but in doing so you certainly run the risk of missing out on HUGE moves and MAKING $$$!