Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Ferrari IPO ha-ha

That to me is signaling something isn't right....

Why would they decide now after all these years to go public...

Remember when Mercedes was a car that the elite drove back in the day...it was considered a wow factor...if you were a doctor..or owned your own real estate firm ...or you were CEO ...today I see 18 year old kids driving Mercedes . ..the parking lots are filled with CLAs and C 300s...
Now I know Ferrari is totally different but from what I'm reading they want to up production...they want to sell about 9000 units by 2019 up from 7700 today...they are slowly saturating their brand...many luxry companies have been doing this the last decade or so....ferrari is seeing sales pick up greatly over the last hmmmm 6 years...now you have to question how quick those sales will drop once there is a global recession... The only reason why Ferrari sales have skyrocketed is because of QE and the stimulus all central banks have pushed through the system.. Once that is gone and the world is in global recession and China's real GDP is under 4% Ferrari will see its sales drop right back under 6000... Ferrari is only selling these many cars because of all these free trillions the central banks are pouring in...remember that

I remember when Porsche only had a few marquee cars...then all of a sudden they became like Chevy or something with a dozen different models...nice cars, but still, it's a way to dillute the brand...Ferrari introduced the California a few years back (nice looking car), but true enthusiasts seemed disappointed with the direction things were headed...
 
Do you ever try to leg into those spreads? Either sell the short call first, wait for a pullback and then "anchor" that strike or vice-versa?
No, typically if I have a reason to think I can call the short term move about to happen, I will just trade it outright at a larger size instead. I've done what you mentioned before in a paper account with actually pretty decent success, but I took on huge amounts of risk and held naked short positions overnight, which I would not be comfortable with whatsoever in my account. I made something stupid like 18% in a month primarily through credit spreads and a few naked short positions, but the amount of risk being held was pretty significant.
 
I think the troll market has to re-test 2020 cash...maybe pierce and trap everyone OR simply blow right thru it and give everyone a collective WTF.
yea thats what I am waiting on, a blow off run to 2060 just as Oct ends, pulling in long the last of the holdouts
 
No, typically if I have a reason to think I can call the short term move about to happen, I will just trade it outright at a larger size instead. I've done what you mentioned before in a paper account with actually pretty decent success, but I took on huge amounts of risk and held naked short positions overnight, which I would not be comfortable with whatsoever in my account. I made something stupid like 18% in a month primarily through credit spreads and a few naked short positions, but the amount of risk being held was pretty significant.

I see...I was thinking just in terms of perhaps a daytrade legging in...I know that when I do a spread all at once, the execution prices are sometimes lacking and even a 5 pt move in spx/es can make that spread more attractive.
 
yea thats what I am waiting on, a blow off run to 2060 just as Oct ends, pulling in long the last of the holdouts

That may happen...nothing can be ruled out with this kind of market...btw, have you been watching RUT/IWM the past 2 days? it's like a giant "W"...
 
I see...I was thinking just in terms of perhaps a daytrade legging in...I know that when I do a spread all at once, the execution prices are sometimes lacking and even a 5 pt move in spx/es can make that spread more attractive.

"Yeah, I dealt with this the other day when selling some, the next day on a small move the spread was worth significantly more."

What underlying would you choose regarding selling the options right now, since the IV is pretty low generally
 
"Yeah, I dealt with this the other day when selling some, the next day on a small move the spread was worth significantly more."

What underlying would you choose regarding selling the options right now, since the IV is pretty low generally

The ones I sold last week were on the SPY. I'm trying to find some edge in individual stocks if I can figure out good times to sell, working on some form of a system right now. Rally's posts in the SPX credit spread trader are what I am trying to follow kind of. Something similar at least.
 
"Yeah, I dealt with this the other day when selling some, the next day on a small move the spread was worth significantly more."

What underlying would you choose regarding selling the options right now, since the IV is pretty low generally

Good question...I'm not doing any credit spreads or anything like that...I generally like to go long puts/calls and if I feel inclined then I will spread them off...and sometimes later on I'll just turn them into butterflies...but lately I mostly just kinda scalp otm puts/calls in SPY/IWM/QQQ...

If/when I'm in credit spreads, it screws up my "bias" and I wind up doing dumb **** trying to hedge them...but I'm just saying if I were inclined, I'd just leg them off of a good "outright" options trade that I wanted to spread.
 
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