Quote from sle:
Are we looking at the same GOOG? Mine is realising 12 vol, which is consistent with it's beta to Qs and Jan-31 1117.5 strike implied has a 23 handle...
I don't know if you are delta-hedging, but the general problem with that reasoning is that path dependency can and probably will lose you money on the whole trade - i.e. ATM straddle will be worth 6%, but it's going to be a different strike. Meanwhile you going to lock-in low vol through the life of the straddle you buy today (unless you are buying a strip of some sort).Quote from IV_Trader:
ATM is at 5.5%...I adjusted the expected reporting vola due to the last Q move.
Can't see straddle goes much below 5% on the day of report.
Quote from sle:
I don't know if you are delta-hedging, but the general problem with that reasoning is that path dependency can and probably will lose you money on the whole trade - i.e. ATM straddle will be worth 6%, but it's going to be a different strike. Meanwhile you going to lock-in low vol through the life of the straddle you buy today (unless you are buying a strip of some sort).