Quote from frank grimes:
I think we can all agree the dollar is getting violated (debased) on a daily basis. There is no doubt that we are in a commodity bull mkt. The question is how long does it last, and where is the dollar and rates when the parties over. I don't think people in the fed really want to think about that at this time, they just want to keep printing money, becuase the economy is in "good" shape and there is no credit problem out there. They are just being "preemptive" again. [/QUOTE
If we accept the hypothesis for the moment that the market cannot appreciate X% without the dollar dropping X%, then we know there cannot be an infinite rise in the market, since the dollar cannot drop to zero. But say the fed wants to engineer a 15% rise in markets YOY. That means we lose 15% on the dollar every year. At what level would this be a problem? So far at Euro 1.42 its not. What about 1.70? 2? 3? Is it possible for the Euro to be at 3 and the markets growing 15% a year with no inflation showing in the data? If so that could take 10 years. I'm just wondering what the possibilites are and how long this nightmare can last. Anyobody have any ideas?