Good Gold

Quote from SethArb:

the correction may have started already ...

the next few days weeks will in retrospect
show us what we do not know at the moment

and if it is to be a correction
how far do we go before the dust settles ?

$ 650 - 600 - 550 ?

Well said. The last several weeks gold's move has gone parabolic. When gold corrects, there will be dust for sure.

That said, I am short June gold as of late Friday afternoon, with a stop (close) several dollars over Friday's high. The down close after the gap looks bearish to me. At the same time, if I'm wrong, I am out.
 
I think you are risking too much here

$15 or so is too high ... maybe you can cover half

if there is a short covering rally monday and look to sell again if it fails close to the highs of friday ?

I guess if you are looking for nice down move of say $75 then risk of $15 sounds low ...

good luck to you
 
Now why try to pick the top of this really strong gold rally? I think a lot of people are underestimating this gold bull market. If this even makes a quick move to $800, there will be a lot of pain and short covering.

I think, buying on weakness instead of selling into stength would be a better choice.
 
Quote from polpolik:

Now why try to pick the top of this really strong gold rally? I think a lot of people are underestimating this gold bull market. If this even makes a quick move to $800, there will be a lot of pain and short covering.

I think, buying on weakness instead of selling into stength would be a better choice.

Who's picking tops?:-)

For volatile commodities/stocks in parabolic moves I use a stop and reverse system. If gold goes up strong from the open, I will cover the short and go long.

The only time I would enter a long-term position in the metals would be if the gold/silver ratio hits below 25. It's not even near there yet.
 
Spot gold 707, near a reversal(H&S hourly). Seems like we are set for a SHARP downturn :D . Good thing too, the local gold stocks have doubled within weeks... we need a rest.
I bet the gold longs are fidgeting now, while I'm happy sitting on cotton and foodstuffs.(Hey, in the worst case scenario, you'd have to exchange your gold for my food ):D

Oil is crashing too, though I wavered on that one(especially in my newsletter), discount it :(
 
USD stronger too overnight

funny thing is there is a

-Hard Money conference - this week in nyc

I do not know the historical dates of this conference for the gold bugs but I do remember
a few yrs ago it took place just around a corrective phase in the metals markets
 
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